Robert
FXUS62 KMFL 281736
AFDMFL
SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
135 PM EDT SAT AUG 28 2004
.DISCUSSION...THE EAST COAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES WERE
DEVELOPING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE COASTLINES OF SOUTH
FLORIDA. THE SEA BREEZES SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE INLAND
WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALONG THE SEA BREEZES. MOST
OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE OVER THE INTERIOR
AND NORTHEAST AREAS OF THE CWA...DUE TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
STEERING FLOW OVER THE CWA.
A FEW STORMS COULD ALSO BECOME STRONG LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR AND NORTHEAST ZONES...AS A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM TROPICAL STORM GASTON SOUTHWEST INTO
THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION LATE THIS MORNING BRINGING IN DRIER AIR
ALOFT OVER THIS AREA.
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN DIE OUT THIS EVENING OVER
MOST OF THE CWA...EXCEPT OVER THE WEST AND SOUTHEAST COASTAL AREAS
DUE TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST STEERING FLOW.
NHC THIS MORNING HAS FORECASTED TROPICAL STORM GASTON TO MOVE SLOWLY
TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES THROUGH TUESDAY...AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES FROM THE CENTRAL PLAN STATES INTO THE SOUTHEAST US. THIS
WILL KEEP THE STEERING FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA IN A SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST DIRECTION...AND ALLOW FOR MOST OF THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BE OVER THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST ZONES.
.EXTENDED FORECAST...GASTON IS THEN FORECAST BY NHC TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AWAY FROM FLORIDA THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM THE ATLANTIC WATERS.
AS FOR HURRICANE FRANCES IT IS FORECASTED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE
SOUTHERN BAHAMAS IN THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. WITH HURRICANE FRANCES
GETTING CLOSER TO SOUTH FLORIDA PLAN ON INTRODUCING BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS FOR LATE NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. AGAIN THE PATH OF
THE HURRICANE CAN CHANGE DURING THIS TIME AND PEOPLE NEED TO REFER
TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST ADVISORY AND
INFORMATION ON HURRICANE FRANCES.
&&.MARINE...FLOW WILL PREVAIL SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THE SEAS WILL 2 FEET
OR LESS DURING THIS SAME TIME.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 75 92 75 92 / 40 40 30 50
FORT LAUDERDALE 79 91 79 91 / 30 40 30 40
MIAMI 78 92 78 92 / 30 30 20 40
NAPLES 76 90 78 90 / 20 30 20 30
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
$$
BAXTER