http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/OKX/AFDOKX
BUT WE'RE NOT DONE YET. THE THIRD AND NEWEST PLAYER IN THE MIX IS
THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 360MI SE OF CAPE HATTERAS
AS OF EARLY AFTERNOON. THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF THIS FEATURE IS
GETTING MORE IMPRESSIVE AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON...SHOWING MORE
CONVECTION DEVELOPING AROUND A WELL-DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.
IF THIS TREND CONTINUES THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...THE TPC
MAY UPGRADE THIS DISTURBANCE TO T.D.#8 OR EVEN TROPICAL STORM
HERMINE AT 5 PM TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
CLOSELY...SINCE IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOW SHEAR IS CURRENTLY PRESENT IN IT'S
PATH...AS WELL AS RELATIVELY WARM SST'S...SO THIS COULD BECOME A
WIND AND RAIN THREAT FOR AT LEAST SOME OF THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY TUE. THE MOST LIKELY REGION IN OUR CWA THAT THIS FEATURE WOULD
IMPACT WOULD BE LONG ISLAND AND SERN CT.
NYC/Upton NWS office concern for new TD or TS?
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