HPC Day 6 Forecast

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LowMug

HPC Day 6 Forecast

#1 Postby LowMug » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:19 pm

It is interesting to note the bulge in the high pressure as Frances makes landfall in Fl...

Does this bulge help pull it north or pust it into the GOM...Thanks

[/img]http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9mh.gif
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snowflake
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Re: HPC Day 6 Forecast

#2 Postby snowflake » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:28 pm

[quote="LowMug"]It is interesting to note the bulge in the high pressure as Frances makes landfall in Fl...

Does this bulge help pull it north or pust it into the GOM...Thanks

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9mh.gif

What big bulge?
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Frank P
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#3 Postby Frank P » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:30 pm

For what its worth, it looks like Frances is going to go thru the Hebert Box, which if a major storm is going to strike SE Fl, statistically they practically always go thru this box looking at past history of storms... that being said, only 9% of these storms that go thru this box make it to the GOM... the last one to do it was Georges back in 1998 I think... I'm not saying its not going to get to the GOM, just pointing out some climotogical data.... here is info on the Hebert Box

http://www.hurricanecity.com/hebertbox.htm
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das8929

#4 Postby das8929 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:32 pm

Id say if it continued in this direction it can very well make the Heberts Box. However any slight NW jog it will bypass it to the slight north.
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#5 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:33 pm

Frances has taken a turn for the wsw.If this general W-WSW movement continues over the next couple of days,I think theres a good chance she will wind up in the Gulf
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#6 Postby Deenac813 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:35 pm

das8929 wrote:Id say if it continued in this direction it can very well make the Heberts Box. However any slight NW jog it will bypass it to the slight north.


Andrew bypassed it slightly to the north right? I will not be happy until Frances is north and east of me!
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