Who does this remind you of?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

Who does this remind you of?

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:30 pm

Who does this remind you of?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

I'm not trying sound the alarm here and I know we still have a long way to go but man does this not remind you of Andrew?

Andrew was on steaming along almost due west and the NHC kept on saying he's gonna turn, he's gonna turn. Well like I've said before on another post, the rest is history. You know I wouldn't be so concerned for South Florida if it wasn't for the increase in forward speed and lack of more northward motion.
Yeah she's wobbling a little north here and there but it's
mostly a westward motion. I guess I need to take my on advice
and calm down. :)
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7240
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: Who does this remind you of?

#2 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:32 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Who does this remind you of?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

I'm not trying sound the alarm here and I know we still have a long way to go but man does this not remind you of Andrew?

Andrew was on steaming along almost due west and the NHC kept on saying he's gonna turn, he's gonna turn. Well like I've said before on another post, the rest is history. You know I wouldn't be so concerned for South Florida if it wasn't for the increase in forward speed and lack of more northward motion.
Yeah she's wobbling a little north here and there but it's
mostly a westward motion. I guess I need to take my on advice
and calm down. :)


comsidering you are in houston i would suggest you calm.
0 likes   

User avatar
CalmBeforeStorm
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 600
Age: 72
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:55 pm
Location: Stuart, Florida

Re: Who does this remind you of?

#3 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Mon Aug 30, 2004 4:29 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Who does this remind you of?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

I'm not trying sound the alarm here and I know we still have a long way to go but man does this not remind you of Andrew?

Andrew was on steaming along almost due west and the NHC kept on saying he's gonna turn, he's gonna turn. Well like I've said before on another post, the rest is history. You know I wouldn't be so concerned for South Florida if it wasn't for the increase in forward speed and lack of more northward motion.
Yeah she's wobbling a little north here and there but it's
mostly a westward motion. I guess I need to take my on advice
and calm down. :)


Actually this system has very little in common with Andrew other then the fact that it is a strong storm threatening SoFla. Andrew was very weak going NW to around 25n over Puerto Rico being pulled north by a trough when a ridge built in pulling it close to due westward and strengthening it significantly thereafter. Frances is much more similar to many of the long running cape verde systems that hit SoFla in the 20's and 40's.
0 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

Re: Who does this remind you of?

#4 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Aug 30, 2004 4:46 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:Who does this remind you of?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

I'm not trying sound the alarm here and I know we still have a long way to go but man does this not remind you of Andrew?

Andrew was on steaming along almost due west and the NHC kept on saying he's gonna turn, he's gonna turn. Well like I've said before on another post, the rest is history. You know I wouldn't be so concerned for South Florida if it wasn't for the increase in forward speed and lack of more northward motion.
Yeah she's wobbling a little north here and there but it's
mostly a westward motion. I guess I need to take my on advice
and calm down. :)


comsidering you are in houston i would suggest you calm.


Regardless of him being in Houston, he made a point that he was concerned about south Florida.
0 likes   

Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 30, 2004 6:00 pm

Good point shawn :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#6 Postby bahamaswx » Mon Aug 30, 2004 6:09 pm

I believe NHC accurated forecasted Andrew NOT to turn northward.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#7 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 30, 2004 6:09 pm

It looks like to be becoming more compact and symmetric.
0 likes   

User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#8 Postby bahamaswx » Mon Aug 30, 2004 6:09 pm

I believe NHC accurated forecasted Andrew NOT to turn northward.
0 likes   

User avatar
stormchazer
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2462
Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
Location: Lakeland, Florida
Contact:

#9 Postby stormchazer » Mon Aug 30, 2004 6:11 pm

You can have it....
0 likes   
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged

Opinions my own.

Guest

#10 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 30, 2004 6:18 pm

I agree with CAlm before the storm. This is not a storm like Andrew. I think it resembles a long tracker like the 1928 killer. It is a heavy storm too lots of heavy rain. Andrew was relatively light but deadly with its high winds. Maybe I will get my moneys worth on a hurricane resistant garage door. I am ready to bunker down. Merritt Is. could be under the gun.
0 likes   

User avatar
Windsong
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 438
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 8:26 pm
Location: East Coast Central FL

#11 Postby Windsong » Mon Aug 30, 2004 6:22 pm

Smokin....where are you located on the island. I am told we will be issued mandatory evacuation notices on Thursday. Are you staying? I am in New Found Harbor and I am leaving. Don't know where yet, but count me gone!
0 likes   

User avatar
Roxy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 657
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:58 am
Location: Houston (Clear Lake)

#12 Postby Roxy » Mon Aug 30, 2004 6:25 pm

bahamaswx wrote:I believe NHC accurated forecasted Andrew NOT to turn northward.


that's possible. because we got several days off of school. the weather was beautiful the whole time.

I was in Houston.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost and 211 guests