THEY ARE GETTING THE HANG OF IT FIRST "OFFICAL" TR

[rtd2]

STILL TOO FAR NORTH

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... 00406.html

[dennis1x1]

i guess that 315 movement for 10 hours is just a wobble? lol......i think still slightly too far south

[calidoug]

You don't get it Dennis-- storms don't only turn to the right.

Frances is running into the ridge to the north, and the models now show a turn back to the LEFT.

Even the NHC has it curving left, not right at the end of the 3-day.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT ... 22043W.gif

Watch the WV loop. Keep your eye on the ridge, currently being significantly reinforced from the W.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

Recall the previous path of this storm: WNW, then NW, then back almost due W, then WNW, now almost NW.... but soon to head WNW under the guidance of another ridge.

Even Avila of all people is now calling for a left turn.

[Deenac813]

Recall the previous path of this storm: WNW, then NW, then back almost due W, then WNW, now almost NW.... but soon to head WNW under the guidance of another ridge.

Even Avila of all people is now calling for a left turn.

But the questions just remains as to when right???

[dennis1x1]

so are you just saying its going to turn much earlier than forecast? yes i see the official turn near or after landfall...

[~SirCane]

WNW at around landfall it looks like. Another landfall in the Gulf a strong possibility. .....

[stormwatcher]

OK - I looked at the WV. Confuse. If the high is is pushing on Francis so much then why is the outflow so enlongated to the north and the winds ove GA - NC going SW - NE? Help me understand.

[Anonymous]

To me it looks like from the water vapor, as wall as tracking map, it is rounding the west side of the ridge and May or may not hit Florida but it will be a close call

[Hurrilurker]

Speaking of water vapor, doesn't Frances have a big patch of very dry air to pass through?

[Innotech]

holy poop this storm is gigantic!
Is htis how big FLoyd was? I cannot remember. Its as big as the entire southeast US

[JQ Public]

No floyd amazingly was bigger!

[cebers01]

Yeah don't mistake outflow for CDO (Central Dense Overcast) That's where the storm is under the CDO. Floyd was about 100 miles bigger...

[JQ Public]

Yeh i heard on CBS that Frances is about the same size as hugo. So she is being compared to a big gun in hurricane history.

[PTrackerLA]

I have a feeling the whole northern gulf coast will have to start paying very close attention to Frances. Looks like it could be entering the gulf heading west. I'm predicting New Orleans-Pennsacola for second landfall.