models

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boca
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models

#1 Postby boca » Sat Sep 11, 2004 6:49 am

If all the models are clustered 175 miles west of South FL we just might get 20 - 25mph winds and alittle sputter of rain. I have plywood sitting in my living room do I board up?
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jlauderdal
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Re: models

#2 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Sep 11, 2004 6:52 am

boca wrote:If all the models are clustered 175 miles west of South FL we just might get 20 - 25mph winds and alittle sputter of rain. I have plywood sitting in my living room do I board up?


i wouldnt put one board up. In fact, i am taking more of my shutters down today and just told my wife to get hit the store and buy wahtever we need and dont worry about power outages. I have see enough of the models and the West shift. Wind and some rain for sofla. Yes it could still come here but I find it highly unlikely.
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Re: models

#3 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Sep 11, 2004 7:03 am

jlauderdal wrote:
boca wrote:If all the models are clustered 175 miles west of South FL we just might get 20 - 25mph winds and alittle sputter of rain. I have plywood sitting in my living room do I board up?


i wouldnt put one board up. In fact, i am taking more of my shutters down today and just told my wife to get hit the store and buy wahtever we need and dont worry about power outages. I have see enough of the models and the West shift. Wind and some rain for sofla. Yes it could still come here but I find it highly unlikely.


Not so fast, I would wait. I think every knows how flakey these models have been.
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#4 Postby wsquared77 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 7:13 am

I would wait to decide for sure until late this afternoon or early tomorrow. When is Ivan supposed to cross Cuba? I think I've heard over and over again that we won't REALLY know where he's going to go until after we see how he interacts with Cuba. I also agree with the pp. They models have done a fair amount of flopping around lately, so I'm not sure I feel comfortable relying on them just yet.
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#5 Postby kittcat » Sat Sep 11, 2004 7:23 am

We lost our power last Saturday and still don't have it. I am able to use the computer for short duration with the small generator we have. We still have some of the shutters up but most came down due to the "oven factor" of the house. Any rain or wind is just going to keep those FPL folks that much longer from fixing the electricity. It's funny how you take advantage of the little things....like being able to take a hot shower, grabbing a cold beer from the fridge, and most important AIR CONDITIONING. The NHC forecast track this morning is good for the east coast of florida and I know things can change. Still...the rest of the boards won't come off until Ivan is no longer a threat.
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#6 Postby alicia-w » Sat Sep 11, 2004 7:31 am

Flaky models and an unpredictable storm make for a volatile mix. Think twice about taking the wood down, but if you need to see light of day, I guess you can always put it back up.
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rbaker

#7 Postby rbaker » Sat Sep 11, 2004 7:39 am

any hurricane let alone ivan that is se of you moving wnw, at a slow speed should not be taken as a all clear sign, in fact I would wait until he's west of your latitude before I let my guard down.
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#8 Postby Guest » Sat Sep 11, 2004 7:40 am

My entire neighborhood has remained boarded up. Between the boards, the tarped roofs, and the fallen trees, our neighborhood looks "rough" to say the least. We're keeping our boards up until this system passes. Rather be safe than sorry. And from what I've noticed, the boarded up windows keep the sunlight out, thus keeping the temp down.
...Jennifer...
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#9 Postby miamijaaz » Sat Sep 11, 2004 7:52 am

This west shift has been great news. But remember it is forecast to move NW and then N. A few hours of N movement could negate the western movement anf shift the models back. It's too early to tell, but I must say it was great to wake up and see this drasmatic change in the models...
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