Classic again and starting that.....

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dixiebreeze
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Classic again and starting that.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:47 pm

WNW turn, just as NHC forecast. Through the Isle of Youth, Western Cuba and up the GOM:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:47 pm

Seems like the eye is coming back strong.
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#3 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:49 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:Seems like the eye is coming back strong.



gezzz thats a big sucker! :eek:
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#4 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:50 pm

Cuba will not sleep the next couple of nights. The current NHC track is now looking like an appropriate scenario through next Wednesday. I do fear Ivan will continue as a major.
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#5 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:52 pm

Ivan will miss Grand Cayman to the south by a good margin. Take that to the bank. AND...another shift to the west at 5pm.
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#6 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:55 pm

I hope you're right, Big EZ, for Florida's sake :roll: But I hope Ivan fizzles some before hitting the Panhandle.
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#7 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:56 pm

He is still going to threaten the Panhandle. I know they are still part of Florida, the last time I looked.
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#8 Postby dhweather » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:57 pm

Someone GUARANTEED this was not a Florida storm earlier in the week. :)
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#9 Postby FungusMoldlyColdcuts » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:58 pm

that was also 7 days+ before a landfall when the most obvious scenerio was not a florida landfall. give the man a break. 'twas a very strong opinion though :)
Last edited by FungusMoldlyColdcuts on Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#10 Postby das8929 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:59 pm

Its going to go in between the Caymans and hit Cuba dead on. Watch its moving NW right now.
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#11 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:02 pm

das8929 wrote:Its going to go in between the Caymans and hit Cuba dead on. Watch its moving NW right now.


If it's moving NW NOW why does THC have it going WNW as of 2 PM????
Which is NOW!!
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#12 Postby das8929 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:05 pm

Sorry I meant WNW. Geez....
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#13 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:06 pm

das8929 wrote:Sorry I meant WNW. Geez....


NO PROB!! :wink:
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ACTUALLY,,,,,

#14 Postby bobbisboy » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:10 pm

Actually the NHC has described IVAN as DRIFTING for the last 2 advisories. This is what they say when a storm is not moving. I assume if movement were apprciable, they would say so. No ?
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#15 Postby Javlin » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:13 pm

Ivan is moving WNW now.The ULL in the Atlantic is stationary for the most part for the last few hrs.The ULL seems to be held in check by high over the CUNUS in the SE.Ivan will probably continue this track for another 12>24 hrs.The thing that I keep thinking about is this troff that is suppose to pick him up.The 5 day forcast here along the MGC is normal same temp maybe 40% chance of rain Tues. typical.How strong is this troff then will it go deep enough into the GOM to have an impact @20'N.Will Ivan stall for lack of steering currents and the troff not deep and slides buy.the further the ULL in the Atlantic moves W so does Ivan.The ULL influence for right seems to be impeaded thus the slow down in Ivan.
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#16 Postby bwstg » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:26 pm

I say it will go towards mexico curve ne into brownsville, head back out into the GOM and then curve again into the panhandle. That is my take on it. lol
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FungusMoldlyColdcuts

#17 Postby FungusMoldlyColdcuts » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:40 pm

bwstg wrote:I say it will go towards mexico curve ne into brownsville, head back out into the GOM and then curve again into the panhandle. That is my take on it. lol


you should be alongside joe bastardi in the accuweather camp. go straighten them out
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#18 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:43 pm

Big EZ wrote:He is still going to threaten the Panhandle. I know they are still part of Florida, the last time I looked.


Sarcasm unnecessary :roll: I was speaking of the part of Florida that's already been hit 3 times this season.
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