...next 6-12 hours crucial to Ivan's future path (duh!). IMO, a N turn should occur by this PM, based on next trough, accompanied a low dropping SE through Ark / La then into the GOM. I cannot see Ivan crossing W or NW through this barrier, and a N/NE turn should occur in front of it.
Of course, I have my knife and fork ready if Mother Nature serves a nice crow pie to me!!
Okay, guys and gals, fire at will!!
Regards (as always!),
Millibar