TD11 Getting Better Organized

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MWatkins
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TD11 Getting Better Organized

#1 Postby MWatkins » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:02 pm

Satellite imagery from this evening indicates that TD11 is getting better organized...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Consolidating the thunderstorm activity near the center and deeper thundertorm activity...looks like on this trend we could see a storm soon...

MW
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#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:05 pm

I agree. My gosh the Atlantic is getting so darn active. I suppose that is to be expected. Afterall we are at the peak of the hurricane season.

<RICKY>
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:05 pm

Yes I agree and I of course dont like it pass PR so strong.
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#4 Postby Guest » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:07 pm

do you think this will hit floride, georgia, south carolina, or north carolina? because as of now, from what i've seen it looks like it will landfall. Also, would you expect it to be a hurricane when it landfalls assuming it does (just a preliminary)
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#5 Postby stormchazer » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:08 pm

nikolai wrote:do you think this will hit floride, georgia, south carolina, or north carolina? because as of now, from what i've seen it looks like it will landfall. Also, would you expect it to be a hurricane when it landfalls assuming it does (just a preliminary)


Dr. Lyons says its fish...
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#6 Postby PurdueWx80 » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:09 pm

My first guess in from the VA/NC border and points north. It's all going to depend on where the ridge forms after Ivan makes his way through the eastern/central US. This is all assuming TD11 even makes it past Hispaniola.
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#7 Postby Matthew5 » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:10 pm

Mw the nhc says it is poorly defined?
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#8 Postby brudeb » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:11 pm

I really hope it doesn't hit PR strong my dad lives on the southeast side of the island. He already has had 3 close calls. :eek:
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#9 Postby MWatkins » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:12 pm

Matthew5 wrote:Mw the nhc says it is poorly defined?


The center is poorly defined at this time...it's broad right now...but the thunderstorm activity is increasing and taking on a more organized shape.

MW
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#10 Postby Guest » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:15 pm

gfdl has it eventually attaining cat 2 status... but then again its the gfdl...
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#11 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:26 pm

nikolai wrote:gfdl has it eventually attaining cat 2 status... but then again its the gfdl...


Well, don't discount this completely. The GFDL has NAILED recently both Ivan's extreme intensification in the Central Atlantic and Javier's rapid intensification today.

I'd keep an eye on it...
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