Where is Ivan? Is he coming back??

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
charleston_hugo_veteran
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1590
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 12:47 pm
Location: Charleston, S.C.

Where is Ivan? Is he coming back??

#1 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:55 am

Anyone??
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#2 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:56 am

Off NC/VA. Steve Lyons says it needs to be monitored. Pressures are low.
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Ixolib
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2741
Age: 68
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 8:55 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#3 Postby Ixolib » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:57 am

Saw somewhere in here last night that Accuweather was predicting a loop across FL into the GOM then Texas. I'm interested in that update as well!! :?: :?:
0 likes   

Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 19, 2004 8:41 am

Ok , TOP SECRET,...but just for those Tropical weather buffs who enjoy the conspiracy possibilities of IVAN returning I bring you this confidential
note from the Tampa NWS discussion this Sunday AM..... mums the word,


LONG TERM (TUE NGT - SAT)...RATHER IMPRESSIVE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN
PLACE TUESDAY EVENING THEN GRADUALLY RELAXES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS
GFS TRIES TO SPIN UP LOW PRESSURE...PERHAPS REMNANTS OF IVAN...WEST
OF THE PENINSULA. AT THIS TIME...PLAN ON IGNORING THIS FEATURE AND
UNDER-CUTTING GFS WINDS BY 15 TO 20 KNOTS. :eek:


...remember mums the word. Its our secret

8-)

Mike
0 likes   

Anonymous

#5 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 19, 2004 8:46 am

Oh yeah Brent,...after Accu-weather's complete I mean complete bomb- out with Jeanne I wouldn't hold much faith in what they say. Accu-weather was so darn sure of their forecast for Jeanne to move off the Big Rocky Islands coast and quickly become a Hurricane and to quote the forecaster on Fox news "Jeanne will hit the USA as a Hurricane early this week". Accu-weathers track had Jeanne crossing south central Florida due west directly into the Gulf then hitting LA.

Hmmmm,... such bravo but the main player decided not to show.
Woman can be so fickle.

Mike
0 likes   

OtherHD
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2192
Age: 39
Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 10:01 am
Location: San Antonio, TX

#6 Postby OtherHD » Sun Sep 19, 2004 8:55 am

Wonder how that "Frances going to NC" forecast worked out for him.
0 likes   

TLHR

#7 Postby TLHR » Sun Sep 19, 2004 8:56 am

http://www.wunderground.com/global/Regi ... llite.html

If someone could point out the remnants of Ivan on this map, I would appreciate it!!

All I see are clear skies from Maine to Florida.....

:roll:
0 likes   

User avatar
Cookiely
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3211
Age: 74
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 7:31 am
Location: Tampa, Florida

#8 Postby Cookiely » Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:08 am

TLHR wrote:http://www.wunderground.com/global/Region/AT/IRSatellite.html

If someone could point out the remnants of Ivan on this map, I would appreciate it!!

All I see are clear skies from Maine to Florida.....

:roll:

Below are the coordinates for yesterday, perhaps it will help.

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 66 FOR REMNANT OF IVAN
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004


...THE REMNANTS OF IVAN HAVE MOVED OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...

ALL FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED IN THE NORTHEAST.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR NORTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

AT 5 PM EDT...21Z...THE REMNANTS OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2
NORTH LATITUDE AND 75.2 WEST LONGITUDE...OR APPROXIMATELY 60 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 15 MPH. WINDS ARE GENERALLY 10-15 MPH...8 TO 13 KNOTS. THE
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB OR 29.59 INCHES OF MERCURY.
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#9 Postby skysummit » Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:14 am

Well, tropical lows often form from the remnants of old frontal boundaries so I see no reason on why something couldn't form from the remnants of Ivan......given good conditions of course. If, by some sort of miracle, it does reform, would still be named Ivan?
0 likes   

sitcommom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 29
Joined: Sun Aug 29, 2004 12:23 pm

#10 Postby sitcommom » Sun Sep 19, 2004 10:44 am

So Ivan forgot his carry-on bag during his Florida vacation?........And Yes the name would still be Ivan.
0 likes   

Superstorm
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 41
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:04 pm

#11 Postby Superstorm » Sun Sep 19, 2004 10:47 am

Image[/url]
0 likes   

Anonymous

#12 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 19, 2004 10:47 am

TLHR, I am with you I can't see anything. I thought that what was left of Ivan's circulation was caught up in the front & raced NE of New England.
But I had read that the circulation was cut with the high level pushing with the front and the low level remains moving SW into the Carolinas. I read this in a previous local Tampa discussion.
Either way it appears some moisture will push into Pensisula Florida over the next 48 hrs.

Looking at the current WV loop I do see the dry air receding rapidly back to the west leaving a slot with what looks like some sort of circulation moving off the SE NC coast S/SE into Atlantic but it becomes lost to my eyes, except for some hight clouds moving SW towards GA-Fl. There appears to be a weak frontal trough remaining off the east coast of Florida.
Is this it? Ivan I mean?
0 likes   

ncweatherwizard
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1243
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Ft. Collins, CO

#13 Postby ncweatherwizard » Sun Sep 19, 2004 11:21 am

Check out the thing off the SC and GA coasts..that's what's left of it.
0 likes   

User avatar
vacanechaser
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1461
Joined: Wed Dec 03, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Portsmouth, Va
Contact:

#14 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Sep 19, 2004 11:45 am

OtherHD wrote:Wonder how that "Frances going to NC" forecast worked out for him.


does not matter.... he called this 2 days ago... and now we see it turning up in the NWS outlooks.. Funny thing is, if you look at the NRL site, if they still have it up, the last forecast track for ivan from the nhc was to loop in central north carolina... he said that he thought that wass wrong and would come off the coast of Va.. well it did right over my area here in norfolk... now, ivan is headed south along the coast... too many people hammer him when he is wrong but no one really ever gives hin credit when he is dead on... i can think of several times this year that he nailed before anyone... alex, gaston, ivan hitting alabama before the nhc forecasted it... now this...
0 likes   
Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2022, Hypercane_Kyle, mitchell and 59 guests