Its official......WE ARE ON "BEARS WATCH"

[KatDaddy]

Just waking up and viewing the latest TX AFDs. All this nice weather along the Upper TX Coast may be coming to an end with possible tropical cyclone development and affects by Thursday. This season is just crazy.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
226 AM CDT MON SEP 20 2004

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FOR SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES. WE START OUT TODAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES AS A DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE. BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...
ALL EYES BEGIN TO TURN TO OUR EAST AS WE WATCH INCREASING MOISTURE
MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. SOME OF THIS MOISTURE IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF IVAN...AND THE MODELS DO DEVELOP A
WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE GULF. WHETHER OR NOT THIS SYSTEM
TAKES ON TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE
PROGGED TO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY (>2 INCHES) ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
PLAN ON INTRODUCING LOW POPS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AND THEN INCREASE
THEM FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY. WILL LOWER POPS A LITTLE FOR NEXT WEEKEND
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO/THROUGH THE AREA.

THIS WEEK'S FORECAST COULD CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY IF TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT OCCURS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. WILL CLOSELY MONITOR WHAT
TPC/NHC HAS TO SAY IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WE ARE ON "BEARS WATCH"
STATUS. 42

[Ivanova]

Wow... look at this...

Remnants of hurricane Ivan coming in from the east into Florida.
Remnants of hurricane Javier coming in from the west into Texas.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Ivanova]

Wow... look at this...

Remnants of hurricane Ivan coming in from the east into Florida.
Remnants of hurricane Javier coming in from the west into Texas.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Here's another image

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html



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