At the rate we're going..
If we have Matthew and Nicole both forming soon.. The question is will 1995 get a run for it's money..
I am not sure.. But I know my prediction of 15 named storms may be out the window lol
How much more will we have..
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I'm not so sure if we'll see a formation in the GOM later in the season (barring what may become of the invest nearing Florida right now ...) ...
The overall synoptic pattern so far this season hasn't been conducive for formation in this region, and it's quite possible the mean synoptics of just how the season's progressed that GOM formation may not be in the cards this year ...
Not only does there seem to be a hurricane corridor AND the 1st/2nd tropical cyclone formation relating to each other ... some climatological years dictate that IF a development region hasn't seen a TC development in the first 4 months of the season, likely the last 2 will also not feature development in that region ... this year, it might relate to the dominating South Central/SW US ridge this year locking upper level NW flow across the W GOM ...
SF
The overall synoptic pattern so far this season hasn't been conducive for formation in this region, and it's quite possible the mean synoptics of just how the season's progressed that GOM formation may not be in the cards this year ...
Not only does there seem to be a hurricane corridor AND the 1st/2nd tropical cyclone formation relating to each other ... some climatological years dictate that IF a development region hasn't seen a TC development in the first 4 months of the season, likely the last 2 will also not feature development in that region ... this year, it might relate to the dominating South Central/SW US ridge this year locking upper level NW flow across the W GOM ...
SF
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