5pm Jeanne-90 mph winds, 972 mb pressure

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Brent
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5pm Jeanne-90 mph winds, 972 mb pressure

#1 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 21, 2004 3:32 pm

Hurricane Jeanne Advisory Number 33

Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on September 21, 2004

...Jeanne now moving southeastward and remains no immediate
threat to any land areas...

at 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Jeanne was located
near latitude 27.3 north...longitude 68.8 west or about 515
miles... 830 km...east of great abaco island.

Jeanne is moving slowly toward the southeast near 6 mph...9 km/hr.
A turn to the south or southwest...with a gradual decrease in
forward speed...is expected later tonight or Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph...150 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next
24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles... 75 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 120 miles...195 km.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb...28.70 inches.

Dangerous surf and rip currents...caused by large swells generated
by Hurricane Jeanne...are possible along the southeastern U.S.
Coast and the northwest and central Bahamas for the next few days.

Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...27.3 N... 68.8 W. Movement
toward...southeast near 6 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 90 mph. Minimum central pressure... 972 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 11 PM EDT.

Forecaster Stewart
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Brent
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#2 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 21, 2004 3:35 pm

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#3 Postby Deenac813 » Tue Sep 21, 2004 3:36 pm

Here is a stupid question :D What will make her turn that sharp to the north?
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Tue Sep 21, 2004 3:40 pm

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#5 Postby Deenac813 » Tue Sep 21, 2004 3:45 pm

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Looks like Frances all over again! :eek: :eek:
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... trike.html


I don't see it? What do you mean by that?
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Lebowsky

#6 Postby Lebowsky » Tue Sep 21, 2004 3:49 pm

The way that cone keeps changing I won't feel safe till she's north of me and mine.
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djti

#7 Postby djti » Tue Sep 21, 2004 3:58 pm

at least the 2 forecast scenarios are gradual weakening or rapid weakening......per nhc.
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#8 Postby panichead4469 » Tue Sep 21, 2004 4:00 pm

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Looks like Frances all over again! :eek: :eek:
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... trike.html


Absolutely no comment! :wink:
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#9 Postby hurricane1020 » Tue Sep 21, 2004 4:00 pm

yeah what will make her take that sharp turn to the north
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#10 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 21, 2004 4:37 pm

Weakness in the ridge.

Currently a high pressure to her west and a low pressure to her north is causing her to just drift around. The high is expected to relax and thus she'll be pulled northward towards the low.

:)
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#11 Postby Deenac813 » Tue Sep 21, 2004 4:38 pm

Brent wrote:Weakness in the ridge.

Currently a high pressure to her west and a low pressure to her north is causing her to just drift around. The high is expected to relax and thus she'll be pulled northward towards the low.

:)



Thanks Brent!
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