Coastal flood watch in effect for SE Texas...

[Houstonia]

According to Mom, the amateur meteorologist, highway 87 is already covered with water (no surprise there), as are some streets in Galveston - can anyone verify this?

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
235 PM CDT TUE SEP 21 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TIDES WILL BE RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL. TOTAL OBSERVED WATER LEVELS
SHOULD REACH BETWEEN 4 AND 4.5 FEET ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER
TEXAS COAST AT HIGH TIDE. AT THESE LEVELS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IS OBSERVED AT THE LOWEST LYING AREAS...MAINLY FOR AREAS EAST OF
FREEPORT AND IN THE GALVESTON BAY AREA. FOR AREAS WEST OF
FREEPORT...ONLY MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IS ANTICIPATED. SEE THE
RECENTLY ISSUED COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT FOR FURTHER INFORMATION (WMO
HEADER WHUS44).

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY. SEE THE RECENTLY
ISSUED COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT FOR FURTHER INFORMATION (WMO HEADER
WHUS44).

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


3:28 pm discussion:

000
FXUS64 KHGX 212029
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
328 PM CDT TUE SEP 21 2004

.DISCUSSION...
SLUG OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE INTRUDING OVER THE W/SWRN PORTIONS OF
THE CWFA THIS AFTN AND THE SCT PCPN ASSOCIATED WITH IT SHOULD LINGER
INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE EVENING HRS (MOST LIKELY DISSIPATING JUST
AFTER SUNSET). THIS AREA CONTRASTS SHARPLY WITH THE E/NE AREAS WHERE
DEWPOINTS HAVE PERSISTED IN THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S RANGE AND CU HAS
BEEN SCARCE. STILL KEEPING AN EYE ON THE NC GULF WHERE SLUGS OF DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE APPROACH FROM THE EAST. THE NEXT "BAND" PROGGED TO
HIT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW (SO WILL KEEP CHC POPS IN THE ZNES) BUT THE
MAIN/LARGER AREA OF MOISTURE REALLY NOT PROGGED TO COME TO HEAD 'TIL
THU/FRI (WHICH HAS BEEN IN THE FCST). EXTENDED GUIDANCE STILL BRING-
ING A WEAK COOL FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRI/SAT...BUT THE POSS-
IBILITY OF CONTINUED INFLUXES OF TROPICAL MOISTURE/WAVES OFF THE N/C
GULF WILL KEEP CHC POPS IN THE ZONES FOR NOW. 41
&&

[TampaFl]

This more in relation to the strong hihg over the NE US and it has nothing to do with any tropical system.


Robert

[Rainband]

Ivan or what was Ivan is heading west and Dennis Phillips says it is very possible he will redevelop

[ROCK]

This more in relation to the strong hihg over the NE US and it has nothing to do with any tropical system.


Robert

uh, not really the ridge by itself but couple that with the MLC in the central gom, they are pushing alot of water our way. Winds are up as well. Buoy reports coming in from the GOM of 30kts winds.....

Looks like its trying to get the surface....

[Stormcenter]

Ivan or what was Ivan is heading west and Dennis Phillips says it is very possible he will redevelop

Actually it is moving WNW based on the NHC outlook.
I think satellite confirms this motion.

[Johnny]

Along with the seasonal high tides.....throw in a tropical system and it could really get ugly.

[stormie_skies]

I was wondering why the creek was so high this morning....

[Lindaloo]

Another Allison? I sure hope not for all our Texas Coast members.

[Stratosphere747]

Well one of our local mets mentione that this front coming down may stall along the coast...That can't be good for 94l or future Matt.

[BayouVenteux]

Ding -Ding-Ding...This just in from the Lake Chaz NWS office:

  FXUS64 KLCH 221428
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
928 AM CDT WED SEP 22 2004

.UPDATE...
The inverted trough (wave-in-the-easterlies) is misbehaving over the
northeast Gulf of Mexico. Special raob releases for noon and midnight
have been requested by the National Hurricane Center until further
notice. I will retain the "Coastal Flood Watch" and "Small Craft
Advisory". Otherwise, stay tuned!

In layman's terms, methinks thar's some bear watchin' a-fixin' to commence.

[Stratosphere747]

What a crazy year....I hope the shear keeps up...The water ahead is about as hot as anywhere in the tropics..