Ivan's movement

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golter

Ivan's movement

#1 Postby golter » Thu Sep 23, 2004 6:20 am

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/RAD_ ... mauto.html

Doesnt it appear to be moving NW and put landfall in central LA??
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Innotech
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#2 Postby Innotech » Thu Sep 23, 2004 6:31 am

yes, and I hear the storm approaching as I speak.
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#3 Postby loon » Thu Sep 23, 2004 6:44 am

You are watching shear being blown away from center. Its been happening Ivan jr's entire new life. LA will get most of the convection though, so it might as well have moved your way.

cheers,
the loon
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#4 Postby bfez1 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 6:52 am

Local met here just said it does appear to be moving more NW now and will probably make landfall between central and western LA.
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#5 Postby golter » Thu Sep 23, 2004 6:54 am

coordinates from 4am to 7am moved north of NW. 7 points north and only 6 points w
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#6 Postby TS Zack » Thu Sep 23, 2004 6:58 am

Also said could stall this is bad news for NO we have the two persistent rainbands setting up right over us.
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#7 Postby loon » Thu Sep 23, 2004 6:59 am

Enjoy the rain, we could sure use it here. Once again the models have blown chunks.
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#8 Postby southerngale » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:00 am

Where are you loon?
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#9 Postby Innotech » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:01 am

loon wrote:Enjoy the rain, we could sure use it here. Once again the models have blown chunks.


I think the storm might be too weak for the models to get a good handle on it.
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#10 Postby loon » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:05 am

Texas City/Galveston, TX, haven't had rain in weeks.


The shear is lessening, and it could head a bit more westerly today. Kinda looks like he might get a bit better organized soon. Ivan the Insane..

cheers
the loon
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#11 Postby southerngale » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:11 am

We haven't had much lately until this past Saturday when a severe storm appeared out of nowhere...it was pouring down rain sideways, wind was blowing like crazy, trees were uprooted, over 5000 people were without power, lightning was close...I was in a restaurant and watched lightning strike some apartments and they caught on fire. I posted about it in the US Weather Watch Forum. I'm sure that was worse than what I'll see from Ivan if he makes it here, except probably more rain.
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#12 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:12 am

Local mets say landfall is still likley between Galveston and the Sabine River.
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#13 Postby southerngale » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:14 am

HouTXmetro...
Did they say why? I wonder if they're just going by the official forecast or if they expect it to resume the WNW motion.
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#14 Postby Innotech » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:15 am

some quite interesting clouds over the area now...
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#15 Postby LaBreeze » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:32 am

Raining pretty good down here in Vermilion Parish. Lots of gusty winds and very dark sky.
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