Uh oh..

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3261
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Uh oh..

#1 Postby chris_fit » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:02 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Satatlites are working again...


look at the convection that has fired up.

ERC going on?
0 likes   
Top
ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

#2 Postby ericinmia » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:04 am

Image

It appears the convection is firing up, and that the eye has tightened. I bet when the convection the south of the eye wraps around, that it will pull that little eye southward some.
-Eric
0 likes   
Top
Matthew5

#3 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:05 am

Yes it is moving away from the area it was upwelling in. It will likely get better oreganized. In with warmer water to come could become quit a powerful tropical cyclone.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#4 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:06 am

Eyewall Replacements are more common in Major Hurricanes.

It doesn't happen with lesser Hurricanes very often
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#5 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:16 am

I don't see any mention of eyewall replacement cycles in this thread.....

I see your point, Mark. Jeanne isn't exactly a weak storm and is expected to strengthen as we may be seeing the beginning signs of.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Dmetal81
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 221
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 9:22 am
Location: Westminster, SC

#6 Postby Dmetal81 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:17 am

Regardless, shes looking much meaner now then she was at midnight.
0 likes   
Top
logybogy

#7 Postby logybogy » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:18 am

so what was the track during the last 3 hours?

It looks slightly north of due west but that could be misleading cause the eye is significantly smaller now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#8 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:18 am

ColdFront77 wrote:I see your point, Mark. Even still... Jeanne isn't exactly a weak hurricane.


True.

Couldn't her eye presentation be just the fact that dry air got in to the main circulation. :?:
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#9 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:22 am

logybogy wrote:so what was the track during the last 3 hours?

Jeanne moved 24.7 miles in a due westerly direction between 11:00 PM and 2:00 AM Eastern.
0 likes   
Top
Mister Popps
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 17
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:13 pm

#10 Postby Mister Popps » Fri Sep 24, 2004 6:07 am

logybogy wrote:so what was the track during the last 3 hours?

It looks slightly north of due west but that could be misleading cause the eye is significantly smaller now.



From 5am Thursday to 5am Friday...the Jeanne coordinates on Thursday was 25.6N and 69.7W and this Friday 5am she was at 26.1N and 71.6W. This is for 24 hrs. Do not know how to compute into miles.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: KirbyDude25, pepecool20 and 43 guests