Once again we see the GFS bias to weaken the ridge ...

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Once again we see the GFS bias to weaken the ridge ...

#1 Postby x-y-no » Fri Sep 24, 2004 4:37 pm

Compare the 18Z initialization:

Image

with the 12Z 6 hour frame:

Image

---

And we're told even the initializations are too weak ...
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#2 Postby PurdueWx80 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 4:43 pm

HMMMM...looks like S/Central FL to me

Image
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Fri Sep 24, 2004 4:46 pm

yeah - landfall at 36 hours

Given the over-weak ridge, though, I have to think this is too far north.
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#4 Postby PurdueWx80 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 4:50 pm

Right over Lake Okeechobee at 42 hours..much less of a turn than previously.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_042m.gif
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