A bunch of you may know about it, but I was surfing today and found this:
http://www.keyshistory.org/35-hurr-homepage.html
It includes a photo history and several write ups on the '35 Keys hurricane--still the lowest landfalling pressure in the western hemisphere. Pretty cool.
Here's a link to a map I found on that site showing Florida and all the hurricane tracks over the years. Kind of helps me remember that hurricanes in Fla might be the NORM--and what we've seen there since the 60's has been unusually quiet.
http://www.keyshistory.org/stormchart2.jpg
Hope you all enjoy!
1935 Keys hurricane site
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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SouthernWx
Yes....Floridians have to understand, intense landfalling hurricanes are a fact of life....just as intense tornadoes are in Oklahoma and Kansas.
What is happening in 2004 is historically closer to normal for the peninsula than what occurred the past five decades (only 4 landfalling major hurricanes between 1951-2003).
While I don't expect three significant hurricanes to impact the Florida peninsula next year, IMO there will be many landfalling 110+ mph hurricanes over the next 20-30 years.
During the last intense Florida peninsula hurricane cycle from 1926 to 1950, fourteen (14) 110 mph+ hurricanes impacted the peninsula in a 32 year period...on average once every two years. Included in this hurricane cycle were three large cat-4's into Miami/ Fort Lauderdale/ Palm Beach and a 190 mph cat-5 in the Keys.
As difficult as this may be to believe, Florida has actually been fortunate this season. The core of hurricanes Charley, Frances, and Jeanne avoided much more densely populated metropolitan areas....as bad as impacts were in Charlotte, St Lucie, Martin, Indian River, and southern Brevard county were....if the targets had been Hillsborough/ Pinellas or Lee/ Collier AND Broward/ Palm Beach counties, both the damage toll and number of fatalities would have likely been much higher.
Additionally, it was extremely fortunate that hurricane Frances slowed and weakened before landfall. It appeared to be on a beeline track into a densely populated coastal area (Miami to Palm Beach) at 140-145 mph....but thankfully didn't reach those areas or at peak intensity.
One note of concern....hurricane season isn't over in southern Florida. Even though the last major landfalling October occurred in that area in 1950, the current Tropical Cyclone Heat Content analysis is extremely high over the western Caribbean....a favored spawning area for major October hurricanes. 2004 has already been a tragic and very bizarre hurricane season....I hope and pray we don't see an October monster from the western Caribbean add to the misery and costs already felt by millions across Florida.
What is happening in 2004 is historically closer to normal for the peninsula than what occurred the past five decades (only 4 landfalling major hurricanes between 1951-2003).
While I don't expect three significant hurricanes to impact the Florida peninsula next year, IMO there will be many landfalling 110+ mph hurricanes over the next 20-30 years.
During the last intense Florida peninsula hurricane cycle from 1926 to 1950, fourteen (14) 110 mph+ hurricanes impacted the peninsula in a 32 year period...on average once every two years. Included in this hurricane cycle were three large cat-4's into Miami/ Fort Lauderdale/ Palm Beach and a 190 mph cat-5 in the Keys.
As difficult as this may be to believe, Florida has actually been fortunate this season. The core of hurricanes Charley, Frances, and Jeanne avoided much more densely populated metropolitan areas....as bad as impacts were in Charlotte, St Lucie, Martin, Indian River, and southern Brevard county were....if the targets had been Hillsborough/ Pinellas or Lee/ Collier AND Broward/ Palm Beach counties, both the damage toll and number of fatalities would have likely been much higher.
Additionally, it was extremely fortunate that hurricane Frances slowed and weakened before landfall. It appeared to be on a beeline track into a densely populated coastal area (Miami to Palm Beach) at 140-145 mph....but thankfully didn't reach those areas or at peak intensity.
One note of concern....hurricane season isn't over in southern Florida. Even though the last major landfalling October occurred in that area in 1950, the current Tropical Cyclone Heat Content analysis is extremely high over the western Caribbean....a favored spawning area for major October hurricanes. 2004 has already been a tragic and very bizarre hurricane season....I hope and pray we don't see an October monster from the western Caribbean add to the misery and costs already felt by millions across Florida.
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GoneWiththeWind
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