Atlanta: MAJOR creek flooding now/13"+ for 9/04!

#1 Postby **LarryWx** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 9:57 pm

Currently, MAJOR flooding is occurring at Peachtree Creek in Fulton and Dekalb Counties:

"THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS UPGRADED THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING TO MAJOR FLOODING...

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR PEACHTREE CREEK IN...

FULTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
DEKALB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA

* UNTIL 400 AM EDT

* NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE CITY OF ATLANTA SINCE 2 PM WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

* FOR THE PEACHTREE CREEK NEAR ATLANTA...
MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
THE LATEST STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 20.5 FEET AT 930 PM MONDAY. FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET. THE FORECAST FOR THE PEACHTREE CREEK NEAR ATLANTA...
THE CREEK WILL CREST BETWEEN 22 AND 23 FEET AROUND MIDNIGHT.
THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM TUESDAY.

AT 21 FEET...MAJOR AND SERIOUS FLOODING BEGINS. WATER RISES TO THE UNDERSPOUTS OF THE NORTHSIDE DRIVE BRIDGE. PEOPLE WILL NEED TO BE EVACUATED FROM PEACHTREE PARK APARTMENTS."

This makes the THIRD tropical system to have a major impact on the Atlanta area in just this month alone! Once today's rainfall is tallied (already 4"+ per Doppler at airport and still coming down hard), I expect the total monthly rainfall to exceed 13" at the very least!

Here is a link to this month's F6 showing daily rainfall:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ffc/html/fsixlast.shtml

Link to monthly Atlanta rainfall records:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ffc/cgi-bin/xmc ... L&month=01

Current radar:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... kffc.shtml

Putting all of this together, 9/2004 has a decent shot at getting into the top 5 wettest months on record at the very least. Moreover, with rain still coming down hard, I'm not so sure that 15" isn't attainable!

Stormsfury · #2 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:07 pm

Absolutely amazing ... I'll have to call my friend that I stayed with for a couple of weeks when I was on vacation back in July ... she told me with Ivan, that it was really bad in that area ...

SF

#3 Postby **LarryWx** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:22 pm

Stormsfury wrote:Absolutely amazing ... I'll have to call my friend that I stayed with for a couple of weeks when I was on vacation back in July ... she told me with Ivan, that it was really bad in that area ...

SF

The NWS vastly underestimated this. I don't recall anyone predicting it. From what I've been told, the local met.'s missed this badly. I certainly didn't expect anything like this. The Doppler estimates show that only a relatively narrow area of 3"+ rains occurred over the city with many areas between there and Athens/Macon getting far less. So, this narrow band seems kind of "flukey".

JenyEliza · #4 Postby **JenyEliza** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:33 pm

Stormsfury wrote:Absolutely amazing ... I'll have to call my friend that I stayed with for a couple of weeks when I was on vacation back in July ... she told me with Ivan, that it was really bad in that area ...

SF

Ivan was, by far, the worst in my neck of the woods (my personal experience).

Although the rain we've gotten from Jeanne today has aggravated an already bad flooding situation, due to Frances and Ivan making their appearences here first. So its hard to say if Jeanne wasn't just as bad as the others.

There's just NOWHERE for the water to go now. The ground here is saturated. With Ivan we had 18 inches of rain surround our house and breach the crawl space, and ended up with one tree down (missed the house). At least that hasn't happened with Jeanne (knock wood).

I'm just going to be glad for EVERYONE when this Hurricane season is over.

Jeny

SouthernWx · #5 Postby **SouthernWx** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:33 pm

I missed it too Larry. Jeanne moved farther west and slower across south and middle Georgia than I anticipated, and instead of light rain...I've measured 1.47" today. At my dad's home just southwest of Newnan, over 3.25" has fallen today...bringing the September total there to 16.60". I've been luckier....only 8.10" so far in September here.

This will be a hurricane season remembered all across the south for the unbelievable train of significant hurricanes that impacted the area.

I hope and pray no one loses their life in tonight's flooding....the story of that little girl swept away and drowned up in White county during Ivan's passage was heart wrenching

JenyEliza · #6 Postby **JenyEliza** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:36 pm

LarryWx wrote:
Stormsfury wrote:Absolutely amazing ... I'll have to call my friend that I stayed with for a couple of weeks when I was on vacation back in July ... she told me with Ivan, that it was really bad in that area ...

SF

The NWS vastly underestimated this. I don't recall anyone predicting it. From what I've been told, the local met.'s missed this badly. I certainly didn't expect anything like this. The Doppler estimates show that only a relatively narrow area of 3"+ rains occurred over the city with many areas between there and Athens/Macon getting far less. So, this narrow band seems kind of "flukey".

I'm not a met. Not even close, not even an amateur weather-geek (sorry no insult intended to those who are), I'm just an average Mom who keeps an eye on the weather and how it affects getting kids to/from school around here.

But, I saw this (gut feeling) coming over the weekend. I kept wondering how Jeanne was going to get to the Carolinas and go around Atlanta. As big as she was, I just didn't see how it would be possible. Looks like I was right, unfortunately.

Jeny

JenyEliza · #7 Postby **JenyEliza** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:39 pm

SouthernWx wrote:I missed it too Larry. Jeanne moved farther west and slower across south and middle Georgia than I anticipated, and instead of light rain...I've measured 1.47" today. At my dad's home just southwest of Newnan, over 3.25" has fallen today...bringing the September total there to 16.60". I've been luckier....only 8.10" so far in September here.

This will be a hurricane season remembered all across the south for the unbelievable train of significant hurricanes that impacted the area.

I hope and pray no one loses their life in tonight's flooding....the story of that little girl swept away and drowned up in White county during Ivan's passage was heart wrenching

Yes, it was. Especially since it didn't have to happen. What was that Dad thinking (parents are divorced, kids were on visitation w/Dad) letting his 6 year old play in a drainage ditch during that storm? I'm sure that Dad asks himself this question every waking minute of every waking day. He almost lost his 16 year old daughter who went in after the little girl. Took several adults to rescue her, and they didn't find the little girl until the water dissipated. A few hundred yards away from where she'd been playing happily.

I don't know....I could be an alarmist, but I didn't let my kids even think about going outside during Ivan. Its just not worth the risk.

Jeny

NorthGaWeather · #8 Postby **NorthGaWeather** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:42 pm

Jim Noel, a great met was pretty dead on with his forecast a few days ago. He was saying 2-4 inches possible.

#9 Postby **LarryWx** » Tue Sep 28, 2004 2:54 pm

Followup:

Atlanta ended up with 4.89" yesterday, giving them a monthly total of 13.65". This will likely end up being the final SEP tally. It doesn't quite break the record high for SEP of 14.26", set in 1888. However, it is higher than any FEB-JUN, AUG, OCT, and DEC on record. All but about an inch of the rainfall was associated with the three tropical systems Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne which affected Atlanta about every ten days.

wxwatcher2 · #10 Postby **wxwatcher2** » Tue Sep 28, 2004 4:09 pm

Well the good thing about all the rain is it will eventually flow downstream.

Wonder if six flags got flooded again?

Atlanta: MAJOR creek flooding now/13"+ for 9/04!

Atlanta: MAJOR creek flooding now/13"+ for 9/04!

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