Trying to organize?.......

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Trying to organize?.......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Oct 01, 2004 7:00 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Oct 01, 2004 7:03 pm

It seems that way. In what ways do you think this is interacting with that upper low just next to it?

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Oct 01, 2004 7:05 pm

I would guess that's what is spiking the convection, but the area is beginning to look like it has intentions of getting serious.
0 likes   
Top
hurrmia
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 46
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 5:02 pm
Location: miami fl

#4 Postby hurrmia » Fri Oct 01, 2004 8:19 pm

their saying when it get to nw carbbean it could get more tropical (tv weather man)
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#5 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 01, 2004 8:24 pm

It's possible we are seeing a disturbance finally form here over Jamaica. This would be big if it was. I guess people are hesitating because the wave has taken so long and the area is so unfavorable. Looks like possible persistence. If it forms where does it go?

Meanwhile the whole area looks to have a wide persisting wave-ish cloudiness throughout...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#6 Postby boca » Fri Oct 01, 2004 8:32 pm

not north into Fl,but towards the Yucatan Peninsula and Southern Gulf.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Noah
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 541
Joined: Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:41 am
Location: Sarasota FL

Re: Trying to organize?.......

#7 Postby Noah » Fri Oct 01, 2004 9:23 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg



this is close to florida???
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#8 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 01, 2004 9:42 pm

It is warm and humid here tonight.

If something comes from this flare it should be on the upwind side of the ULL shear...
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#9 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 01, 2004 11:53 pm

Small burst 13N-79W


Back in SW area. See if it grows after eclipse...
0 likes   
Top
DAVE440
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 192
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 5:12 pm
Location: Ft.Lauderdale Florida
Contact:
Contact DAVE440

#10 Postby DAVE440 » Sat Oct 02, 2004 6:22 am

Not sure if this is the same area ur referring to...Im probably just seeing the new position. As of 2am 16N 80W
You can see a spin in the clear area to the north of the shower activity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-vis-loop.html

CARIBBEAN SEA...
BROAD...STRONG MID/UPPER LOW OVER THE W CARIBBEAN IS THE PRIMARY FOCUS TONIGHT. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 16N80W AND ENCOMPASSES THE AREA FROM 9N-24N BETWEEN 72W-89W. THIS LOW IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WHICH IS GENERATING MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 78W-86W INCLUDING THE COAST NICARAGUA/SE HONDURAS AND FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 75W-79W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E CUBA/JAMAICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA W OF 66W.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hammy, ronjon and 72 guests