A few things about development....

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A few things about development....

#1 Postby Anonymous » Mon Oct 04, 2004 2:11 pm

A few thing to point out:
FIRST OF ALL THE WESTERN GULF:
A UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WINDS FROM THIS ANTICYCLONE CONTINUE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND ULTIMATELY SOUTHEASTWARD

Now, IN MY OPINION... THAT WOULD HELP ANY OUTFLOW FOR A "SYSTEM" IN THE WESTERN GULF...WOULDN'T IT?

SECONDLY:
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...AS UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ORIGINATING
IN CENTRAL PANAMA MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN WATERS.
SOME OF THIS FLOW CONTINUES EASTWARD...WHILE OTHER PARTS OF
THE FLOW MOVE TOWARD NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS. THE 76W/77W
TROPICAL WAVE IS SET TO MOVE INTO THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT
TWENTY FOUR HOURS. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM
A SMALL SIZED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 32N55W TO
A SECOND SIMILAR CYCLONIC CENTER NEAR 25N59W...THROUGH THE
MONA PASSAGE...INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 13N71W. ISOLATED
MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEAST OF 16N72W 20N63W.

I am concerned... as I said a day or two ago... I think we will have a potent system in the SW Caribbean in the next few weeks..... call it a hunch.
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Mon Oct 04, 2004 2:32 pm

I'll add this... mid-October time frame... towards the end of the loop...
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 04, 2004 2:38 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:I'll add this... mid-October time frame... towards the end of the loop...


A link has to be posted for the members to look at the loop :) .
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#4 Postby dhweather » Mon Oct 04, 2004 2:43 pm

Didn't he say call him crazy in a post last week? :lol:
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#5 Postby Anonymous » Mon Oct 04, 2004 2:46 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

Nice guys :cry:
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#6 Postby sponger » Mon Oct 04, 2004 3:10 pm

A shame our quiet time is coming to an end. Nice while it lasted. lets see what happens in the next few days.
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#7 Postby dhweather » Mon Oct 04, 2004 3:14 pm

This booger might do like Allison - Landfall in Texas, then East along I-10. That was fun *not*.
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