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LARGE AND POWERFUL DEEP-LAYERED LOW IS NEAR 32N32W MOVING SLOWLY
SSW. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AROUND
THE SYSTEM WITHIN 60-150 NM FROM THE CENTER. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES TOWARD WARMER WATER. COMPLEX
FRONTAL SYSTEM IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT
N OF THE AREA AND A COLD FRONT ENTERING AREA NEAR 32N22W AND
EXTENDING SW TO 23N30W...THEN WNW TO 23N44W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ON EITHER SIDE OF FRONT FROM 24N-32N BETWEEN
21W-27W. BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ARE SPREADING E FROM THE SYSTEM
ACROSS CANARY ISLANDS TO THE COAST OF NW AFRICA. THE MID/UPPER
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGHLY AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE
SUBTROPICAL ATLC OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS THE LARGE E ATLC
LOW MOVES SLOWLY SSW AND A BLOCKING HIGH DEVELOPS OVER THE
N CENTRAL ATLC BETWEEN 40W-50W.
As my friend Hyperstorm said yesterday the low has to drop to around 30n to then arrive at more warmer waters.But I say more than that.The low may arrive at that 30n latitud but if it not develops convection around or very near the low center then it will not adquire subtropical caracteristics and remain a cold core low so let's see what happens.