A 958mb center low to track to within 50 miles of the SW UK coast (Cornwall) before stalling for some 12 hours before moving NW across Ireland.
Well that is what the models are more than hinting at, infact almost agreement – actually it is quite an interesting setup as a few thing are coming together.
A warm WBMT plume of TM air will undercut cold upper air which should form in a low – now as this interacts with the jet looks like it will induce some VERY rapid cyclogenesis -in fact the global models prog. this to bomb some 26mb from +48 Hours to +72 Hours.
This could turn out to be another significant late October event – perhaps not in the same vain as the 1987 “hurricane” which tracked across southern England as the track will not be the same – but the effects of the stalling will mean that severe storm force winds could occur for a long period of time.
I am trying to get Wednesday of work – there could be some great pictures to be take of HUGE waves crashing against the Cornish cliffs - not to mention the winds.
One to watch
