As was mentioned in a previous post, the low had two options: Follow the trough or Stay behind. Well, the low has decided its course and has totally missed the trough. All of this means...chances for transition are increasing with time.
Now, as the trough travels northward, a wedge of high pressure to its north will keep it in the same general latitude over the next few days with a tendency of moving toward the west. The low should not dissipate or depart the picture anytime soon (48-72 hours at least). This means that we will be stuck with a tenacious little system for the next few days. Chances are that during that time we will begin to see some tropical characteristics develop as upper conditions should gradually improve (even now it's starting to take place) and SSTs will remain marginally warm.
If all of this takes place, it will be the second straight year of December storms and the 4th one in 7 years...
(1998/2001/2003/2004?)
Interesting developments regarding Atlantic Gale Center...
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Re: Interesting developments regarding Atlantic Gale Center.
Hyperstorm wrote:As was mentioned in a previous post, the low had two options: Follow the trough or Stay behind. Well, the low has decided its course and has totally missed the trough. All of this means...chances for transition are increasing with time.
Now, as the trough travels northward, a wedge of high pressure to its north will keep it in the same general latitude over the next few days with a tendency of moving toward the west. The low should not dissipate or depart the picture anytime soon (48-72 hours at least). This means that we will be stuck with a tenacious little system for the next few days. Chances are that during that time we will begin to see some tropical characteristics develop as upper conditions should gradually improve (even now it's starting to take place) and SSTs will remain marginally warm.
If all of this takes place, it will be the second straight year of December storms and the 4th one in 7 years...
(1998/2001/2003/2004?)
Yes I agree. This is something to watch very very carefully and consider.
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