FFC Afternoon discussion---LOOKING GOOD

Winter Weather Discussion

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Brent
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FFC Afternoon discussion---LOOKING GOOD

#1 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:01 pm

POPS up to 30% for Atlanta.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
252 PM EST SAT DEC 25 2004

.SHORT TERM...
INTERESTING FORECAST AS MODELS CONVERGE ON SIMILAR SOLUTION WITH
WINTER WEATHER BECOMING MORE OF A REALITY. LATEST RUN OF MODELS
SIMILAR WITH DEEPER MOISTURE SPREADING FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE
COUNTY WARNING AREA TONIGHT AS SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE GULF
INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA. COLD THICKNESSES AND 850 ZERO DEGREE LINE
SUPPORTING MIXED PRECIP (RAIN/SLEET/FREEZING RAIN/SNOW) AS FAR NORTH
AS ATLANTA TO GAINESVILLE LINE. HAVE ISSUED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA JUST SOUTH OF ATLANTA-ATHENS LINE FOR LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY WHERE WE EXPECT THE HEAVIEST PRECIP. JUST NORTH
OF THE LINE...EXPECT PRECIP AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND THINKING MORE
SNOW VERSUS ICE AND HAVE ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT TO
COVER. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE WATCH AS ANY SHIFT OF
THE LOW FARTHER NORTH WOULD MEAN BETTER PRECIP AMOUNTS FARTHER
NORTH.
SYSTEM PULLS OUT RATHER QUICKLY SUNDAY MORNING AS LOW MOVES
UP THE EAST U.S. COAST...TAKING BULK OF PRECIP WITH IT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT WITH DRY WEATHER AND A
WARMING TREND GETTING ON THE WAY MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...
SURFACE HIGH MEANDERS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE WEEK...PROVIDING FAIR SKIES AND ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. EXTENDED
MODELS HINTING AT SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER MAINLY NORTHWEST
SECTS SATURDAY AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...BUT PLAN TO
HOLD OFF INTRODUCING PRECIP AND LET ANOTHER RUN OF MODELS CONFIRM
THAT POSSIBILITY.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATLANTA 30 46 29 50 / 30 00 00 00
ATHENS 28 44 29 51 / 30 10 00 00
GAINESVILLE 29 43 28 50 / 30 00 00 00
ROME 24 47 25 53 / 10 00 00 00
COLUMBUS 32 49 31 55 / 50 20 00 00
MACON 31 47 28 56 / 50 20 00 00
&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CENTRAL
LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.
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#2 Postby JenyEliza » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:08 pm

Looks like we Atlantans might get our White Christmas afterall (so long as it starts falling and sticking before midnight). :cheesy:

WOOO HOOO!!

Jen
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#3 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:13 pm

JenyEliza wrote:Looks like we Atlantans might get our White Christmas afterall (so long as it starts falling and sticking before midnight). :cheesy:

WOOO HOOO!!

Jen


I'm feeling pretty good here... precip should be in before 8-9pm with a changeover around 11 or so(hopefully). :)
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#4 Postby Dan » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:20 pm

Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Looks like we Atlantans might get our White Christmas afterall (so long as it starts falling and sticking before midnight). :cheesy:

WOOO HOOO!!

Jen


I'm feeling pretty good here... precip should be in before 8-9pm with a changeover around 11 or so(hopefully). :)


I wouldn't plan on it being here that early with the dry air that it will have to overcome. After midnight may be a better bet.
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#5 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:21 pm

Dan wrote:
Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Looks like we Atlantans might get our White Christmas afterall (so long as it starts falling and sticking before midnight). :cheesy:

WOOO HOOO!!

Jen


I'm feeling pretty good here... precip should be in before 8-9pm with a changeover around 11 or so(hopefully). :)


I wouldn't plan on it being here that early with the dry air that it will have to overcome. After midnight may be a better bet.


:(

Oh well... as long as it snows enough to cover everything. 8-)
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#6 Postby Dan » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:23 pm

Brent wrote:
Dan wrote:
Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Looks like we Atlantans might get our White Christmas afterall (so long as it starts falling and sticking before midnight). :cheesy:

WOOO HOOO!!

Jen


I'm feeling pretty good here... precip should be in before 8-9pm with a changeover around 11 or so(hopefully). :)


I wouldn't plan on it being here that early with the dry air that it will have to overcome. After midnight may be a better bet.


:(

Oh well... as long as it snows enough to cover everything. 8-)


ignore what I just said...I really meant midnight or later for Atlanta area. Anyways, enjoy your snow. MERRY CHRISTMAS :D
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#7 Postby JenyEliza » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:24 pm

Dan wrote:
Brent wrote:
Dan wrote:
Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Looks like we Atlantans might get our White Christmas afterall (so long as it starts falling and sticking before midnight). :cheesy:

WOOO HOOO!!

Jen


I'm feeling pretty good here... precip should be in before 8-9pm with a changeover around 11 or so(hopefully). :)


I wouldn't plan on it being here that early with the dry air that it will have to overcome. After midnight may be a better bet.


:(

Oh well... as long as it snows enough to cover everything. 8-)


ignore what I just said...I really meant midnight or later for Atlanta area. Anyways, enjoy your snow. MERRY CHRISTMAS :D


Snow or winter precip at 11:59 on 12/25 STILL qualifies as a White Christmas (am I desperate or what?) ;)

Jen
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#8 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:29 pm

Dan wrote:
Brent wrote:
Dan wrote:
Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Looks like we Atlantans might get our White Christmas afterall (so long as it starts falling and sticking before midnight). :cheesy:

WOOO HOOO!!

Jen


I'm feeling pretty good here... precip should be in before 8-9pm with a changeover around 11 or so(hopefully). :)


I wouldn't plan on it being here that early with the dry air that it will have to overcome. After midnight may be a better bet.


:(

Oh well... as long as it snows enough to cover everything. 8-)


ignore what I just said...I really meant midnight or later for Atlanta area. Anyways, enjoy your snow. MERRY CHRISTMAS :D


:woo:

So you think it really will snow? :)

I think so too. With busts it usually was predicted 4 days ago but never happened.
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#9 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:29 pm

JenyEliza wrote:
Dan wrote:
Brent wrote:
Dan wrote:
Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Looks like we Atlantans might get our White Christmas afterall (so long as it starts falling and sticking before midnight). :cheesy:

WOOO HOOO!!

Jen


I'm feeling pretty good here... precip should be in before 8-9pm with a changeover around 11 or so(hopefully). :)


I wouldn't plan on it being here that early with the dry air that it will have to overcome. After midnight may be a better bet.


:(

Oh well... as long as it snows enough to cover everything. 8-)


ignore what I just said...I really meant midnight or later for Atlanta area. Anyways, enjoy your snow. MERRY CHRISTMAS :D


Snow or winter precip at 11:59 on 12/25 STILL qualifies as a White Christmas (am I desperate or what?) ;)

Jen


HAHA! Same here... :lol:
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#10 Postby LAwxrgal » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:30 pm

I want you guys to get your snow too!
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Wake me up when November ends

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#11 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 25, 2004 3:33 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:I want you guys to get your snow too!


Thanks.

Is it still snowing there? :)
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#12 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 25, 2004 4:01 pm

Jeny... this is for you:

CHEROKEE-CLAYTON-COBB-DE KALB-DOUGLAS-FORSYTH-GWINNETT-HENRY-NORTH
FULTON-ROCKDALE-SOUTH FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTA...DOUGLASVILLE...LAWRENCEVILLE...
MARIETTA
400 PM EST SAT DEC 25 2004

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN MIXED WITH
LIGHT SLEET IN THE EVENING THEN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND CHILL READINGS 19 TO 29.
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#13 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 25, 2004 4:02 pm

County to my east. 8-)

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET IN
THE EVENING THEN A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF A MIXTURE OF RAIN LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN MIXED WITH
SNOW MIXED WITH LIGHT SLEET IN THE MORNING THEN MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
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