Tropical Depression 12R (Invest 95S)

[senorpepr]

95S almost seems subtropical as the strongest winds are far from the center.

WTIO20 FMEE 010014
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/02/2005 AT
0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 013/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 01/02/2005 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1002 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.6S / 64.9E
(SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES
EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTRE, BETWEEN 100 NM AND 600 NM
FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT
.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS FAR FROM THE CENTRE,
BETWEEN 100 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ALL SECTORS BUT SOUTHWESTERN
QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/01 AT 12 UTC:
18.1S / 64.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/02 AT 00 UTC:
18.5S / 63.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
WINDS ARE WEAK CLOSE TO THE CENTRE, AND BECOME STRONGER FAR FROM YHE
CENTRE, 20/25 KT WITHIN THE SQUALLS LINES IN THE NORTH IN THE MONSOON
FLOW (ALONG THE 13S AXIS) AND EAST OF 70E.