Noreaster looking better for next week

[Jrodd312]

The gfs is finally starting to catch on the idea of major snows for the big cities on the I-95 corridor. Last night it was all rain now its snow. The EURO is also showing very heavy snows. This is look better and better with each run. This storm today will be the appeitizer and then next weeks will be the real MEAL!!

[Fodie77]

Yes, the D.C. mets just mentioned that the Mon-Tues event is looking more favorable for snow.

[yoda]

HPC updated Prelim:

ALTHOUGH PREFER A SOLUTION CLOSEST TO THE ECMWF FOR MOST FEATURES
OPT TO NUDGE THE ECMWF COASTAL LOW AND POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT
WINTER STORM THREAT CLOSER TO THE COAST MON/WED AS STRONGLY
SUPPORTED BY THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN AND CONSIDERING THAT EVEN THE
OP ECMWF UPSTREAM NRN STREAM TROF POSITION CERTAINLY LEAVES ROOM
FOR THE NWWD ADJUSTMENT.

UPDATE...STILL PREFER THE 12 UTC/FEB 23 ECMWF OVERALL ACROSS MUCH
OF NOAM AND THE OCEANS BUT HAVE OPTED TO ADJUST A POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT LOW CLOSER TO THE E COAST MON-WED AS SUPPORTED BY NEW
ECMWF ENSEMBLES.

[IndianaJonesDDT]

HPC updated Prelim:

ALTHOUGH PREFER A SOLUTION CLOSEST TO THE ECMWF FOR MOST FEATURES
OPT TO NUDGE THE ECMWF COASTAL LOW AND POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT
WINTER STORM THREAT CLOSER TO THE COAST MON/WED AS STRONGLY
SUPPORTED BY THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN AND CONSIDERING THAT EVEN THE
OP ECMWF UPSTREAM NRN STREAM TROF POSITION CERTAINLY LEAVES ROOM
FOR THE NWWD ADJUSTMENT.

UPDATE...STILL PREFER THE 12 UTC/FEB 23 ECMWF OVERALL ACROSS MUCH
OF NOAM AND THE OCEANS BUT HAVE OPTED TO ADJUST A POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT LOW CLOSER TO THE E COAST MON-WED AS SUPPORTED BY NEW
ECMWF ENSEMBLES.

It has turned out to be yet another bust for my region. First they said 6 to 10. Then thay said 5 to 9, later they said 4 to 8, a few hours ago they said 3 to 6, and now they have me in for 2 to 4 inches of snow. This stuff just makes me want to kill somebody.

[Fodie77]

HPC updated Prelim:

ALTHOUGH PREFER A SOLUTION CLOSEST TO THE ECMWF FOR MOST FEATURES
OPT TO NUDGE THE ECMWF COASTAL LOW AND POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT
WINTER STORM THREAT CLOSER TO THE COAST MON/WED AS STRONGLY
SUPPORTED BY THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN AND CONSIDERING THAT EVEN THE
OP ECMWF UPSTREAM NRN STREAM TROF POSITION CERTAINLY LEAVES ROOM
FOR THE NWWD ADJUSTMENT.

UPDATE...STILL PREFER THE 12 UTC/FEB 23 ECMWF OVERALL ACROSS MUCH
OF NOAM AND THE OCEANS BUT HAVE OPTED TO ADJUST A POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT LOW CLOSER TO THE E COAST MON-WED AS SUPPORTED BY NEW
ECMWF ENSEMBLES.

It has turned out to be yet another bust for my region. First they said 6 to 10. Then thay said 5 to 9, later they said 4 to 8, a few hours ago they said 3 to 6, and now they have me in for 2 to 4 inches of snow. This stuff just makes me want to kill somebody.

I know how you feel man. Trust me.

[Planetsnow]

How will the storm next week affect WNY? Local Mets here are calling for potentialy big snowstorm here too. But, wll the low be too far to the east?? WNY really needs a huge dumping........it's been WAY too long since we've had a widespread dumping around here.

[IndianaJonesDDT]

HPC updated Prelim:

ALTHOUGH PREFER A SOLUTION CLOSEST TO THE ECMWF FOR MOST FEATURES
OPT TO NUDGE THE ECMWF COASTAL LOW AND POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT
WINTER STORM THREAT CLOSER TO THE COAST MON/WED AS STRONGLY
SUPPORTED BY THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN AND CONSIDERING THAT EVEN THE
OP ECMWF UPSTREAM NRN STREAM TROF POSITION CERTAINLY LEAVES ROOM
FOR THE NWWD ADJUSTMENT.

UPDATE...STILL PREFER THE 12 UTC/FEB 23 ECMWF OVERALL ACROSS MUCH
OF NOAM AND THE OCEANS BUT HAVE OPTED TO ADJUST A POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT LOW CLOSER TO THE E COAST MON-WED AS SUPPORTED BY NEW
ECMWF ENSEMBLES.

It has turned out to be yet another bust for my region. First they said 6 to 10. Then thay said 5 to 9, later they said 4 to 8, a few hours ago they said 3 to 6, and now they have me in for 2 to 4 inches of snow. This stuff just makes me want to kill somebody.

Wait, now they are saying that sleet will mix in. There goes my snow. I quit. Bring on Spring. And that next snowstorm will miss my area too, so I could care less about Monday.

[IndianaJonesDDT]

[Stephanie]

It's not a bust for ALL of the MidAtlantic.

[donsutherland1]

Excellent point, Stephanie. Already parts of eastern MD have received up to 4" of snow.

[Stephanie]

The NWS is calling for 5 - 9 inches of snow for my area (Philadelphia).

It's snowing down here in Atlantic City, but it's not sticking to the road/parking lots yet. The road crews got a head start with the salting this morning.

[Fodie77]

Wait a second, isn't this thread supposed to be about next week's storm? How's it shaping up?

[Stephanie]

Wait a second, isn't this thread supposed to be about next week's storm? How's it shaping up?

You're absolutely right Fodie...

[IndianaJonesDDT]

It's not a bust for ALL of the MidAtlantic.

True, not all of the Mid-Atlantic but it's still a bust for the most part. As soon as you see a place in Maryland get 10 inches, tell me, cause I don't see that happenning any time soon. They called for 10 inches in my area and I only have 5 and the storm is already moving out from my area.

Getting half of what's predicted counts as a bust.

[Planetsnow]

What happened to next week's storm???? First they said heavy snow late Monday into Tuesday, now they are saying only snow showers. I KNEW IT I KNEW IT I KNEW IT WAS GOING TO CHANGE!!!!!!!!!! DAMN, can't we ever get a huge snowstorm around here????????

[vbhoutex]

What happened to next week's storm???? First they said heavy snow late Monday into Tuesday, now they are saying only snow showers. I KNEW IT I KNEW IT I KNEW IT WAS GOING TO CHANGE!!!!!!!!!! DAMN, can't we ever get a huge snowstorm around here????????

And you wonder why us Southerners are frustrated ALL WINTER LONG EVERY YEAR????

[ohiostorm]

We finally get some snow from a system. We werent forecasted any at the beginning of the week to just a couple days ago. We were forecasted 2 to 4 inches last night and we will more then likely surpass that in many areas, especially those in the southern counties of our CWA. Guess we are still seeing the northern trend on the storms. I will post totals later this evening.

[SnowGod]

This storm is a verga train.

Next Weeks? Who knows, odd system to say the least. The models are having alot of problems phasing this together, though the GGEM has my idea . Personally, I don't see what the big deal is right now. A storm it may be, but not the hype some people are trying to give it looking at overphasing models. I am not sure this just isn't a big rainstorm with some snowfall.

[krysof]

all the ingredients will be there, the cold, two jet streams colliding. The models will enter their insane phase probably by tomorrow or saturday, but I for the first time will think positive and with snow cover, colder temperatures.

[WXBUFFJIM]

There's been 4.2" of snow in Essex, MD just east of Baltimore. Areas south of here over the central Delmarva and south central Maryland have seen 6-7 inches of snow with this storm. Everything is on the money so far and more snow is expected for the next several hours. This would result in 5-10 inches total accumulation, not surprised since that was the projected total since yesterday from DC, Annapolis, Baltimore points north and east.

Will watch the situation closely for early next week. Looks quite ominous for the big cities and the northeast and mid atlantic coast.

Jim