Worldwide Tropical Update: 02 March 2005

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 02 March 2005 at 06Z.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Percy (10F/20P) (02/06Z)
Position: 16.2S 165.3W (385 mi ESE of Pago Pago, American Samoa)
Movement: SSE at 12 mph
Winds: 165 mph
Pressure: 900 mb / 26.58"
Dvorak Est: T7.5/7.5

Percy continued to deepen throughout the day (locally) and is now the strongest (in terms of pressure) cyclone of 2005. Outflow remains strong with no shear whatsoever. In addition, the eye of Percy remains phenomenal on visible satellite. Expect little change in intensity over the next day with slight weakening thereafter.

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update Website is now in ALERT mode for Percy. You can get the latest observations, webcam shots, news reports, satellite, and much more on the alert page. Go to http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/alert.htm

Tropical Low Noname (12F/98P) (01/21Z)
Position: 14.5S 176.5W (305 mi WSW of Apia, Samoa)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1003 mb / 29.62"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

Although shear is fairly weak and the water temperature is near 86F/30C, detached convection will limit any development over the next couple of days. Model guidance is now starting to focus attention to this system and further monitoring will need to occur.

Tropical Low Noname (---/99P) (01/21Z)
Position: 11.0S 168.0E (445 mi NNE of Port Villa, Vanuatu)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1004 mb / 29.65"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

Although shear is fairly weak and the water temperature is near 86F/30C, detached convection will limit any development over the next couple of days. Furthermore, model guidance has not initialized on this system.

Tropical Low Noname (15R/97S) (01/21Z)
Position: 17.0S 87.9E (685 mi SW of Cocos Islands)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

The remnants of TD 15R have continued to weaken. Although MeteoFrance has dropped this system a few days ago, the US Navy continued monitoring it for signs of development. However, the latest from the JTWC is that the system has dissipated and is no longer suspect..

Tropical Low Noname (---/90S) (01/21Z)
Position: 16.5S 42.5E (345 mi SW of Moroni, Comoros)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

Convection associated with this system is occurring near the center of circulation and upper-level divergence is very favorable for development. However, outflow is marginal, it is becoming more favorable, but proximity to land is hindering development. Regardless, it will be monitored over the next few days, as this system will bring gusty winds and rainfall to Madagascar, Mozambique, and Comoros over the next few days.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com

[senorpepr]

I've made an amendment to the 06Z update to make note of the alert page for TC Percy. It's fairly simple with official advisories, satellite, tracks, webcams, observations, news reports, etc. Of course, I'm always looking for ways to improve this page as well as the rest of the website. So if you have any ideas of products that I could add to this page, please pass them along!

Thanks,
Mike