Read this- just came out today:
http://forecast.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/shadow/d ... ar2005.pdf
Looks like 14, 8 and 4 perhaps.
UK's TSR still calling for very active season=14/8/4
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Interesting anaylisis about landfall probabilitys and looks like the caribbean will be a hot spot in 2005 so I think that all who live in the islands will have to prepare with plenty of time because the pattern shaping up is for low latitud systems traveling from east to west thru the tropical atlantic as the Bermuda High sits to the north and steer them this way.
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