maybe a pattern change

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boca
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maybe a pattern change

#1 Postby boca » Mon Apr 25, 2005 7:38 am

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/TBW/AFDTBW.0504250711. Finally some subtropical air will intrude into FL late this week.
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wxcrazytwo

Re: maybe a pattern change

#2 Postby wxcrazytwo » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:00 am

boca wrote:http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/TBW/AFDTBW.0504250711. Finally some subtropical air will intrude into FL late this week.


Hmm, sounds good to me. I was wondering when the death of humidity might start rearing its ugly head and impregnating air...
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#3 Postby gatorcane » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:05 am

Finally a true sign that summer and the typical ridging we usually have across the peninsula. As this forecast is for the Tampa Bay area I would expect South Florida to see Lows in the low 70s and Highs in the mid to upper 80s with steady E to SE winds all weekend. A true summer pattern is starting to unfold!

SFC HIGH QUICKLY SCOOTS EAST THURS NIGHT AND STRENGTHENS SOMEWHAT BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE E BAHAMAS...RIDGING TOWARD THE PENINSULA INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROMOTE INCREASING RETURN SOUTHEAST FLOW OF SUBTROPICAL AIR BEGINNING FRIDAY AND BEING FELT IN EARNEST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL PUSH DAYTIME TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 80S OVER ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COAST...AND HOLD TEMPS WELL INTO THE
70S EACH EVENING...FALLING TO THE 60S TO NEAR 70 BY SUNRISE.
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:07 am

Now, lets just see if we see good ridging most of May like we did last year. That kept South Florida very dry but the west part of FL saw their summer-time afternoon/evenings storms come early. If this happens again, this may be a sign that we are going to see ridging like we did in 2004 :eek:
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#5 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:15 am

If the same pattern is developing, battendown the hatches,FLoridians :eek:
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#6 Postby boca » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:23 am

I took the insert out of Tampa Bay rather than Miami because they got right to the point desribing the summer pattern.
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#7 Postby gatorcane » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:28 am

Thanks Boca, I'm familiar with that weather office in Ruskin. I spent alot of time in the Tampa Bay area. They are good up there :D
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#8 Postby Javlin » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:33 am

I like the writer the hum of A/C comment a regular Joe.It is still to early to call the ridge boys.I know we are eager myself included but lets wait for late May to mid-June before we can make some assertions.Nice read though and you are right straight to the point.
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#9 Postby Scorpion » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:28 pm

Finally! This nice weather has been great, but its almost May so its time for all the snowbirds and people who can't take the heat to leave. Can't wait for those 90's :D .
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#10 Postby cyclonaut » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:34 pm

Soon we'll see those towering cumulonimbus in the western sky..
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#11 Postby gatorcane » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:43 pm

Well hopefully that's a common site this summer. I'd rather see the cumulonimbus in the western sky than high cirrus from the outflow in the East :eek:
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#12 Postby The Big Dog » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:45 pm

boca_chris wrote:SFC HIGH QUICKLY SCOOTS EAST THURS NIGHT AND STRENGTHENS SOMEWHAT BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE E BAHAMAS...RIDGING TOWARD THE PENINSULA INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROMOTE INCREASING RETURN SOUTHEAST FLOW OF SUBTROPICAL AIR BEGINNING FRIDAY AND BEING FELT IN EARNEST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL PUSH DAYTIME TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 80S OVER ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COAST...AND HOLD TEMPS WELL INTO THE
70S EACH EVENING...FALLING TO THE 60S TO NEAR 70 BY SUNRISE.

Blech!! Just in time for Sunfest.
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#13 Postby gatorcane » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:51 pm

yeah, I posted this a few posts up. Yeah, this ridging is the first noteable ridging that we have seen in several months. Not only is it time for Sunfest but also just in time for May. Hope it is not foreboding what we'll see later in the summer... :eek:
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#14 Postby The Big Dog » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:57 pm

boca_chris wrote:yeah, I posted this a few posts up. Yeah, this ridging is the first noteable ridging that we have seen in several months. Not only is it time for Sunfest but also just in time for May. Hope it is not foreboding what we'll see later in the summer... :eek:

Hard to say. I mean, there is always a high in the Atlantic and a southeast flow in the summer. This is just the way it is.

Last year, I remember a strong due east wind, particularly in August/September, which I can't recall happening before. That's what I'm keeping an eye out for.
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#15 Postby cyclonaut » Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:09 pm

The Big Dog wrote:
boca_chris wrote:yeah, I posted this a few posts up. Yeah, this ridging is the first noteable ridging that we have seen in several months. Not only is it time for Sunfest but also just in time for May. Hope it is not foreboding what we'll see later in the summer... :eek:

Last year, I remember a strong due east wind, particularly in August/September, which I can't recall happening before. That's what I'm keeping an eye out for.

Me too...If there is ridging taking place @ that time then South Fla can get in trouble.
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#16 Postby gatorcane » Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:12 pm

Yes, I agree about the strong East wind. I was in Tampa on the West coast last summer and I couldn't remember a time where the East windflow was so dominant. It actually began in mid to late May and we were seeing summertime afternoon/evenings storms move in from
the east that we would normally see in later months. I found this very unusual. Usually, the west coast will see periods where a west or southwest windflow that will cause the summer storms to push inland...and the west pattern usually is more pronounced in May and June.
However, I saw very little of that last summer especially in August in September.
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#17 Postby T'Bonz » Tue Apr 26, 2005 1:48 am

Scorpion wrote:Finally! This nice weather has been great, but its almost May so its time for all the snowbirds and people who can't take the heat to leave. Can't wait for those 90's :D .


NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

I hate the hot and humid summer. I wish it would stay cool. :(
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#18 Postby Amanzi » Tue Apr 26, 2005 11:08 am

T'Bonz wrote:
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

I hate the hot and humid summer. I wish it would stay cool. :(


Oh I am so with you there!!!!!!! 8-) :D The humidity you can keep scoripian, oh what the heck I'll let you keep those 90's as well! :wink:

I do hope the winds will not be predominantly from the east this year, not only because it increases the threat for the east coast, but the continuous battering of the waves onto our beach has done some big time damage here.
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