EPAC TWD ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

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KatDaddy
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EPAC TWD ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

#1 Postby KatDaddy » Tue May 17, 2005 6:27 am

Still showing some potential

Excerpt from this mornings EPAC TWD

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1006 MB CENTERED NEAR 9.8N 95.6W OR ABOUT
500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR AT 17/0600 IS
MOVING SLOWLY NE. LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE HAS BEEN NOTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO REMAIN
POORLY DISORGANIZED. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT NEWLY
DEVELPED INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE OCCURRING
OVER AND NEAR THE BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER AND SHOWING NO SIGNS
OF ANY BANDING AT THE PRESENT TIME. OTHER STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 300 NM N OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY MOVE NE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS MAINLY IN RESPONSE TO
STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHWARD OVER MEXICO AND THE
W GULF OF MEXICO. SOME SLOW POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT REMAINS
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#2 Postby KatDaddy » Tue May 17, 2005 10:33 am

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1006 MB CENTERED NEAR 10N 95.5W OR ABOUT
450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUATEMALA AT 17/1200 MOVING SLOWLY NE.
CONVECTION HAS GROWN NEAR THE CENTER WITH BANDING BECOMING MORE
APPARENT. THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
UPPER WINDS HAVE ALSO BECOME A BIT MORE FAVORABLE WITH EVIDENCE
OF HIGH CLOUDS FANNING OUT ON THE WESTERN SIDE WITH A DIVERGENT
ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOWLY
MOVE NE AS IT IS CAUGHT UP IN SW FLOW THRU A DEEP LAYER OF THE
ATMOSPHERE...A BIT UNUSUAL FOR THE EPAC. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


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