KNHC 181140
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM PDT WED MAY 18 2005
...RARE TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT
MOVES TOWARD CENTRAL AMERICA...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL
SALVADOR...AND FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT
320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR.
ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...OUTER RAINBANDS MAY BEGIN
TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR LATER
TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF NEAR 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR
THE PATH OF ADRIAN. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...10.9 N... 93.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 8 AM PDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
Intermediate Advisory= Maximun winds increase to 50 mph
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- cycloneye
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Intermediate Advisory= Maximun winds increase to 50 mph
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- SkeetoBite
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- BayouVenteux
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SkeetoBite wrote:This image depicts the various elevation issues Adrian will need to overcome to successfully cross over to the Caribbean Sea.
The 7,000-7,500 foot elevations should do a "Hispanola" on Adrian strength-wise, but it's possible that it could reemerge with a circulation intact. It doesn't bode well for the prospect of flash flooding in the countless villages located in the valleys that make up much of Honduras. After so many years of recovering from Mitch, that's the last thing that part of the world needs.
Hopefully this system will just keep moving along.
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- skysummit
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BayouVenteux wrote:SkeetoBite wrote:The 7,000-7,500 foot elevations should do a "Hispanola" on Adrian strength-wise, but it's possible that it could reemerge with a circulation intact.
It is possible, but I think it would be more of a broad area of circulation if anything....but what do I know!
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SkeetoBite I must thank you for your maps. A great job indeed. These maps will become very important this hurricane season.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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