with nine days left

[wxwonder12]

If the oh so controversial theroy is true, with nine days left until the beginning of hurricane season, is the rain fall in South Florida average, above average ( I think not), or below average for May so far??

[dhweather]

It's bone dry here, bad. No measureable rain in May, only two "trace" events this month.

[Scorpion]

Its slightly below average here, since it hasn't really rained since the first week of this month. By the end of the month it will be below average because the forecast looks dry and getting hotter. I think the dryness will continue into June.

[x-y-no]

[krysof]

wow time flies fast, I'm shocked how fast those 111 days passed

[vacanechaser]

wow time flies fast, I'm shocked how fast those 111 days passed

Now the fun starts...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[gatorcane]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I'm a bit early on my prediction here (since we still have 1 week+ in May) but as far as this dry S. Florida theory goes, we do not seem to be in the pattern we were in last year despite it being somewhat dry here. Troughs are sweeping the peninsula and only for about 1 week were we in a dominant E and SE windflow caused by ridging in the western Atlantic.

My feeling is that the Bermuda High feature will not be as strong or dominant as last year, however, this feature will be dominant from time to time....for FL, this means lower chances of Atlantic storms and higher chances of Caribbean and GOM storms.

As a result, here are my predictions for FL (threat is Tropical Storm or Hurricane):

1 possible threat from the Atlantic side
2-3 possible threats from the Gulf and Caribbean side