Update....NWS Mobile, Al.

[Guest]

000
FXUS64 KMOB 101711
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1200 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

.SHORT TERM UPDATE...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. T.S. ARLENE SHOWING SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING
THROUGH THE NOON HOUR AS IT HAS ENTERED/REFORMED OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULFMEX. A STRONG BLOOM OF DEEP CONVECTION NOW BEING
NOTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE NORTHERN/NORTHEASTERN QUADRANTS OF
THE STORM. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT WE ARE LOOKING FOR A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM/POSSIBLY EVEN A LOW END CAT 1 HURRICANE BEFORE
LANDFALL. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENTS
FROM THIS OFFICE REGARDING THE SPECIFIC IMPACTS ON ARLENE. THOSE
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENTS HAVE NOW BEEN EXPANDED ACROSS OUR
INLAND COUNTIES TO COVER INLAND IMPACTS AS WELL.

LATEST FORECAST PRESENTED NO MAJOR CHANGES TRACKWISE...BUT WE DID
SPEED THE CENTER UP A BIT BECAUSE OF ARLENE REFORMING A LITTLE
FURTHER NORTH THIS MORNING (SHIFTING THE TIMELINE). LATEST FORECAST
WIND FIELDS (BASED ON LATEST TRACK) WERE LOADED IN TIME FOR THE 17Z
NDFD GRID PACKAGE. ALONG THE COAST WE ARE LOOKING AT TIDES RUNNING
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW (4 TO 6 FT STORM
SURGE). CONTINUING THE FLOOD WATCHES OVER THE INLAND AREAS FOR
EXPECTED 3 TO 5 INCH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS...WITH 8 INCH TOTALS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA.

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ALZ061>064
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALZ051>060
FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING ALZ051>064.
FL...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FLZ001>006-GMZ655-675
FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING FLZ001>006
MS...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH MSZ067-075-076-078-079
FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

&&

$$

/05