10PM probabilities

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

10PM probabilities

#1 Postby dhweather » Fri Jun 10, 2005 9:59 pm

<pre>
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E

31.0N 88.0W 37 X X X 37 GULFPORT MS 33 X X X 33
33.5N 88.0W 8 21 2 X 31 BURAS LA 24 1 X X 25
37.0N 87.6W X 6 19 X 25 NEW ORLEANS LA 17 2 X X 19
ST MARKS FL 5 4 X X 9 NEW IBERIA LA 2 2 X X 4
APALACHICOLA FL 18 1 X X 19 GULF 29N 85W 24 X 1 X 25
PANAMA CITY FL 27 1 X X 28 GULF 29N 87W 64 X X X 64
PENSACOLA FL 41 X X X 41 GULF 28N 89W 20 X X X 20
MOBILE AL 39 X X X 39 GULF 28N 91W 1 1 X X 2

COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
C FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
D FROM 7PM SUN TO 7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART

</pre>
0 likes   

StormChasr

#2 Postby StormChasr » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:04 pm

IVAN path!!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
cswitwer
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 356
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:22 pm
Location: Seattle, WA

ivan

#3 Postby cswitwer » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:07 pm

Looks like it.

Does she have enough rain in her to stall over & flood the Appalacians so hard again?
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 611 guests