Gulf of Houndras

[tailgater]

Keeping my other eye on the GOH loose circulation trying to develop, and should move NW into the Yucatan peninsula,so it's gotta battle land, shear and no T-storms. I just feel like this area should be conducive in next couple of days.

[tailgater]

As of this morning we can scratch off T-storms and shear as things to fight off, but there's still this land thing.
Blob Watching.

[weatherwindow]

right you are, tailgater......it may be blob watching but its such an attractive blob. quite an increase in convection this morning. oh well, something to pass the time until august ................rich

[perk]

I also think this may be the place to watch over the next couple of days.The ECMWF model has an area of low pressure developing in this area and moving toward the northern tip of the yucatan,then moving into the centra gulf by Tuesday.

[perk]

That should spell central gulf.Sorry for the bad spelling.

[Guest]

I also think this may be the place to watch over the next couple of days.The ECMWF model has an area of low pressure developing in this area and moving toward the northern tip of the yucatan,then moving into the centra gulf by Tuesday.

Yep think this thing is getting ripe down there for some action.

[tailgater]

I was checking pressures in that region earlier and found that they are fairly low in the general area but it's hard to get updates. But in the Tropical Discussion at 8 am the NHC says the wave is entirely inland

[BayouVenteux]

I also think this may be the place to watch over the next couple of days.The ECMWF model has an area of low pressure developing in this area and moving toward the northern tip of the yucatan,then moving into the centra gulf by Tuesday.

While the ECMWF depicted potential development last week, I don't think "the Euro" has indicated any Gulf low since dropping it after last Wednesday's 12z run. To it's credit, upon doing that, the model subsequently started sniffing out EPAC development in the general area where it's currently underway.

[TampaFl]

This might help. No circulation down ther as of this time. "Bears" watching though

Robert

http://www.oceanweather.com/data/Gulf-of-Mexico/marineloop.html

[dhweather]

I'm getting to the point that I'll believe it when I see it.
It's June, shear, ULL's, dry air, we just have to wait.

[HURAKAN]

Patience, if everything holds together and as expected shear should lessen, we should have an expectacular August and September.

[tailgater]

This blob shows a pretty well defined circulation over Belize and moving NW (I think). IMMO it stands a decent chance of development in the BOC or Gulf. All posters thoughts appreciated

[dhweather]

IF the ULL's over South Texas and LA/MS/AL do move out westward, as
forecast, and this area persists for 24 hours, then this certainly has
a decent chance. Lots of ifs right now.

[tailgater]

This blob shows a pretty well defined circulation over Belize and moving NW (I think). IMMO it stands a decent chance of development in the BOC or Gulf. All posters thoughts appreciated

Patting myself on the back. The blind hog found a acorn.

[earthquake~weather]

[BayouVenteux]

This blob shows a pretty well defined circulation over Belize and moving NW (I think). IMMO it stands a decent chance of development in the BOC or Gulf. All posters thoughts appreciated

Patting myself on the back. The blind hog found a acorn.

How 'bout dat! Good call on Bret, 'Gater.

Looks like "dem woods" is going to be full of acorns this summer, so keep your nose to the ground!