Check out this IR loop, track is not good...

[Guest]

Seems our buddy Dennis is not going to cross land anytime soon, and will probably get away with crossing the shortest part of Cuba. Amazing!

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/s ... an&type=ir

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I see...storms do not like to cross over mountains. Watch this one make landfall right around where Charley did.

[mtm4319]

A WNW wobble for sure, but even wobbles make big differences this close to land.

[Normandy]

If it hits where Charley hits Havana is done for.

[Wnghs2007]

Its in a ERC currently...Its prone to wobbles...

[Guest]

A WNW wobble for sure, but even wobbles make big differences this close to land.

Keep in mind, you are seeing this in a skewed manner since its presenting a curved Earth on a flat plane.

[Stratosphere747]

Still looks like a NW heading...

Should get an idea with the advisory..

[mtm4319]

A WNW wobble for sure, but even wobbles make big differences this close to land.

Keep in mind, you are seeing this in a skewed manner since its presenting a curved Earth on a flat plane.

Yeah, but only slightly so. It's probably traveling about 290-295.

[tampastorm]

Thats what I thought, the infrared does not show as much as a west component

[Wnghs2007]

A WNW wobble for sure, but even wobbles make big differences this close to land.

Keep in mind, you are seeing this in a skewed manner since its presenting a curved Earth on a flat plane.

Yeah, but only slightly so. It's probably traveling about 290-295.

It wobbled 290-295 but it most likely will resume its 310-315 heading once its ERC finishes and a RIC begins.

[Guest]

A WNW wobble for sure, but even wobbles make big differences this close to land.

Keep in mind, you are seeing this in a skewed manner since its presenting a curved Earth on a flat plane.

Yeah, but only slightly so. It's probably traveling about 290-295.

Not disagreeing, just need recon confirmation.

[gkrangers]

Still looks like a NW heading...

Should get an idea with the advisory..

Eh I'm sure they keep a NW heading. But any westward wobble just keep its offshore longer and further away from Cubas central mountains.

[Swimdude]

Goodness gracious, that's one heck of a turn... Or wobble, hopefully. We shall very soon see in the 2 a.m. update.

[Normandy]

Yea it did take a wnw or w wobble...slight tho.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

[jkt21787]

Yea it did take a wnw or w wobble...slight tho.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

Good link, it definitely took a westward wobble, will see what the future images hold.

The last image also shows the eyewall already starting to come back on all sides...

[ALhurricane]

It's take a pronounced west wobble in the past 30 minutes or so... have to give it time to see if it is a trend or not.

The one noticebale thing is that the western eyewall is coming back with a fury.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Normady, That satellite there shows that reds/whites are wraping around the western side. It looks like its coming together. Also it looks like its moving west-northwestward.

[Guest]

It's take a pronounced west wobble in the past 30 minutes or so... have to give it time to see if it is a trend or not.

The one noticebale thing is that the western eyewall is coming back with a fury.

Your right, could it be eye replacement occurring that caused the left movement, we shall see.

[Normandy]

Yea I agree matt.
Also, make it a 30 frame loop, it becomes CLEARLY evident then. If I were in havana id be watching this wobble closely.

[Steve]

Run Floater 2 on Visible and overlay the forecast points. The NHC hit on the one at the tip earlier tonight, but it looks like they may be a hair right unless Dennis wobbles back NWish between now and the next point.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Steve