Dennis looks to emerge in the next 2-3 hours......

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
manofsteele79
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 63
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 9:28 pm
Location: Hattiesburg, MS (Robertsdale, AL)

Dennis looks to emerge in the next 2-3 hours......

#1 Postby manofsteele79 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:09 pm

Will it have enough organization left to attain major hurricane status? Doubtful

Will the track shift left? Likely.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:15 pm

Left, right, left right lol.. Make up their minds please lol
0 likes   

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#3 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:15 pm

If the core of the hurricane is not disrupted significantly, then this will have no problem going back to a cat 3. If it has been disrupted, then all bets may be off. We don't know enough yet until it has emerged. Watch the trends then.

The track though may very well have to be shifted to the left.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#4 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:21 pm

Until we truly know from recon it's hard to say... radar still shows a very impressive circulation. With Isidore when it collapsed, there was NOTHING near the center. It spread out and covered 400 miles.
0 likes   
#neversummer

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#5 Postby Sanibel » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:22 pm

West core should go over Havana a little after midnight...
0 likes   

rtd2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1183
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:45 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#6 Postby rtd2 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:23 pm

jkt21787 wrote:If the core of the hurricane is not disrupted significantly, then this will have no problem going back to a cat 3. If it has been disrupted, then all bets may be off. We don't know enough yet until it has emerged. Watch the trends then.

The track though may very well have to be shifted to the left.



CDO is BAD disruppted...see Maybe Cat 1
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12
0 likes   

jax

#7 Postby jax » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:24 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Left, right, left right lol.. Make up their minds please lol


Were is your tropical update for Dennis!! Bring it!

You must be working in the day... we don't see you much anymore
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#8 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:24 pm

Until we truly know from recon it's hard to say... radar still shows a very impressive circulation. With Isidore when it collapsed, there was NOTHING near the center. It spread out and covered 400 miles.


Precisely, Dennis is still a VERY well organized system.
0 likes   

rtd2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1183
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:45 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#9 Postby rtd2 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:25 pm

Sanibel wrote:West core should go over Havana a little after midnight...


Kuddos to Me and you sannibel and a Few others Who were dismissed when we said Havanah would Get hit with the Core...
0 likes   

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#10 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:25 pm

rtd2 wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:If the core of the hurricane is not disrupted significantly, then this will have no problem going back to a cat 3. If it has been disrupted, then all bets may be off. We don't know enough yet until it has emerged. Watch the trends then.

The track though may very well have to be shifted to the left.



CDO is BAD disruppted...see Maybe Cat 1
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

The circulation as seen on radar is still tight and still very well defined. There is nothing to suggest this is 'falling apart' by any means as I am reading on boards all over the place. This is NOT an Isidore.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#11 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:26 pm

Jax.. I put up forecast #6 a little while ago
0 likes   

tim_in_ga
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 125
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2005 9:30 pm
Location: Buford, GA

#12 Postby tim_in_ga » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:26 pm

rtd2 wrote:
Sanibel wrote:West core should go over Havana a little after midnight...


Kuddos to Me and you sannibel and a Few others Who were dismissed when we said Havanah would Get hit with the Core...


Congrats. :roll:
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#13 Postby wx247 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:27 pm

Center doesn't look very disorganized at all, but we will know more once this gets back out over water and recon can get in there.
Last edited by wx247 on Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:30 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

rtd2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1183
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:45 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#14 Postby rtd2 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:27 pm

tim_in_ga wrote:
rtd2 wrote:
Sanibel wrote:West core should go over Havana a little after midnight...


Kuddos to Me and you sannibel and a Few others Who were dismissed when we said Havanah would Get hit with the Core...


Congrats. :roll:


Thanks Tim! 8-)
Last edited by rtd2 on Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#15 Postby feederband » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:28 pm

Normandy wrote:
Until we truly know from recon it's hard to say... radar still shows a very impressive circulation. With Isidore when it collapsed, there was NOTHING near the center. It spread out and covered 400 miles.


Precisely, Dennis is still a VERY well organized system.


I just hope it doesn't come out of cuba and just explode...This could just be a warm up of what we have yet to see.....Lots of warm or should I say hot water between cuba and Dennis's final destination...
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#16 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:28 pm

wx247 wrote:Center doesn't look very disorganized at all, but we will know more once this gets back out over water and recon can get in there.


If this is disorganized... then I need lots of sleep. :lol:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... kbyx.shtml
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Ixolib
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2741
Age: 68
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 8:55 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#17 Postby Ixolib » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:29 pm

Hey Rtd2 - when ya'll gotta go "south"??
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#18 Postby wx247 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:31 pm

Brent wrote:
wx247 wrote:Center doesn't look very disorganized at all, but we will know more once this gets back out over water and recon can get in there.


If this is disorganized... then I need lots of sleep. :lol:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... kbyx.shtml


I think you read it wrong Brent. Read it again.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#19 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:32 pm

wx247 wrote:
Brent wrote:
wx247 wrote:Center doesn't look very disorganized at all, but we will know more once this gets back out over water and recon can get in there.


If this is disorganized... then I need lots of sleep. :lol:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... kbyx.shtml


I think you read it wrong Brent. Read it again.


You said "Center doesn't look very DISorganized at all" :wink:
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#20 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 9:32 pm

http://jrscience.wcp.muohio.edu/hurrica ... 401ani.gif

That is a hurricane thats core is "disrupted" after landfall. Thats what it would look like.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Teban54 and 273 guests