Big issues for TD Five

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ncweatherwizard
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Big issues for TD Five

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:51 pm

Well I'm usually modest after forecasting (and I will be again)...but I'll take the time to say :roll: . and if there were an emoticon for "phew, that was close", I'd use that too, and that's my rant for this time; I'll be quiet. :lol:

Anyway, the real reason for the post. I guess this is pretty obvious, but basic rundown of our new depression.

1. Shear is low: again we have have a system that will run through mostly 5-10kt vertical shear. On the flip side, there might be too little shear for maximum intensification (flow to improve outflow/inflow dynamics, specifically)
2. We all know SSTs are sufficient; that's not even an issue.
3. It's not moving fast; that may be helpful for the storm.
4. There's a pocket of dry air in front of TD Five. (No I'm not obsessed with dry air today, but hey... :lol: ) It's so dead in that zone between roughly 50W and 60W, there ain't a cloud in sight.

So immediate concern is that dry air. Of course, we've got to get the thing organized first, and we'll probably see that in the next 24 hours. Interesting, just for kicks, check the moisture content of the air, 40/50mm-ish; it may be awhile before this thing does alot really quickly.

Scott
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Swimdude
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#2 Postby Swimdude » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:58 pm

I'm not sure whether you're saying it'll be an issue if it strengthens, or an issue if it doesn't. :lol: But then again, i'm sleep-deprived like everybody else.
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joseph01
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Re: Big issues for TD Five

#3 Postby joseph01 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:02 pm

ncweatherwizard wrote: Interesting, just for kicks, check the moisture content of the air, 40/50mm-ish; it may be awhile before this thing does alot really quickly.


Well...if that isn't the veritable definition of a weather enthusiast, I don't know what is. Asking your buds to check out the moisture content of the air...just for kicks. :lol:

I'm with ya wizard. Interesting post.
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