Is this the real deal? 00:00z Models header TS,35 kts,1005

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cycloneye
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Is this the real deal? 00:00z Models header TS,35 kts,1005

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:02 pm

TROPICAL STORM FIVE (AL052005) ON 20050712 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050712 0000 050712 1200 050713 0000 050713 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.2N 46.4W 11.5N 48.4W 11.9N 50.6W 12.3N 53.0W
BAMM 11.2N 46.4W 11.7N 48.6W 12.3N 51.0W 12.9N 53.6W
A98E 11.2N 46.4W 11.7N 48.5W 12.2N 50.8W 13.0N 53.3W
LBAR 11.2N 46.4W 11.5N 49.0W 12.0N 51.9W 12.3N 55.1W
SHIP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 60KTS
DSHP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 60KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050714 0000 050715 0000 050716 0000 050717 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.9N 55.7W 14.3N 61.4W 15.6N 66.4W 16.4N 71.1W
BAMM 13.7N 56.4W 15.4N 62.0W 16.8N 67.1W 17.4N 71.8W
A98E 13.7N 55.8W 15.3N 61.1W 16.5N 66.3W 17.1N 71.2W
LBAR 12.8N 58.7W 14.0N 65.7W 15.0N 72.8W .0N .0W
SHIP 67KTS 78KTS 82KTS 83KTS
DSHP 67KTS 78KTS 82KTS 52KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.2N LONCUR = 46.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 10.9N LONM12 = 44.4W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 10.8N LONM24 = 42.4W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 25NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 25NM

1005 mbs,35 kts.We have Emily.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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texasheat

#2 Postby texasheat » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:04 pm

where would that put it
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:04 pm

ALLELUYA!!!!
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gkrangers

#4 Postby gkrangers » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:06 pm

Image

00z GFDL takes it over SW Hispaniola into E Cuba. The rest of the plots are still old.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:06 pm

It means they went to upgrade it but tomake sure nothing changes they put it as a number. But any way lets hope so!!! Wahoo!!!


Need to show 1995 the door...
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#6 Postby Rainband » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:06 pm

shred
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Re: Is this the real deal? 00:00z Models header Tropical Sto

#7 Postby jabber » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:07 pm

cycloneye wrote:TROPICAL STORM FIVE (AL052005) ON 20050712 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050712 0000 050712 1200 050713 0000 050713 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.2N 46.4W 11.5N 48.4W 11.9N 50.6W 12.3N 53.0W
BAMM 11.2N 46.4W 11.7N 48.6W 12.3N 51.0W 12.9N 53.6W
A98E 11.2N 46.4W 11.7N 48.5W 12.2N 50.8W 13.0N 53.3W
LBAR 11.2N 46.4W 11.5N 49.0W 12.0N 51.9W 12.3N 55.1W
SHIP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 60KTS
DSHP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 60KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050714 0000 050715 0000 050716 0000 050717 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.9N 55.7W 14.3N 61.4W 15.6N 66.4W 16.4N 71.1W
BAMM 13.7N 56.4W 15.4N 62.0W 16.8N 67.1W 17.4N 71.8W
A98E 13.7N 55.8W 15.3N 61.1W 16.5N 66.3W 17.1N 71.2W
LBAR 12.8N 58.7W 14.0N 65.7W 15.0N 72.8W .0N .0W
SHIP 67KTS 78KTS 82KTS 83KTS
DSHP 67KTS 78KTS 82KTS 52KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.2N LONCUR = 46.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 10.9N LONM12 = 44.4W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 10.8N LONM24 = 42.4W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 25NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 25NM


1005 mbs,35 kts.We have Emily.


Me thinks you are right, even the IR shot looks good
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#8 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:07 pm

They initialized at 35kts, so it has to be a TS.
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texasheat

#9 Postby texasheat » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:08 pm

if it goes over land wont that hurt her badly
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gkrangers

#10 Postby gkrangers » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:09 pm

texasheat wrote:if it goes over land wont that hurt her badly
It would have adverse affects. Tall mountains do more damage to storms than flat land. Hispaniola and Eastern Cuba have tall mountains.
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#11 Postby stormie_skies » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:09 pm

Wow....game on.......AGAIN! :boog:

No rest for the weary, I suppose....
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Rainband

#12 Postby Rainband » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:09 pm

texasheat wrote:if it goes over land wont that hurt her badly
yep especially hispanola and eastern cuba :wink:
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#13 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:16 pm

Rainband wrote:
texasheat wrote:if it goes over land wont that hurt her badly
yep especially hispanola and eastern cuba :wink:


Especially Hispanola where there are peaks above 11,000 feet.
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#14 Postby clfenwi » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:17 pm

Short memories some people have; Hispanola knocked Jeanne from a cat one to a tropical depression...
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#15 Postby micktooth » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:25 pm

Here we go again, just keep her away from New Orleans please. We don't need any more evacuation anxiety!
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#16 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:26 pm

Rainband wrote:
texasheat wrote:if it goes over land wont that hurt her badly
yep especially hispanola and eastern cuba :wink:


I'm not convinced it's going that far north. My guess is close to Jamaica.
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Re: Is this the real deal? 00:00z Models header TS,35 kts,10

#17 Postby johngaltfla » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:26 pm

cycloneye wrote:TROPICAL STORM FIVE (AL052005) ON 20050712 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050712 0000 050712 1200 050713 0000 050713 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.2N 46.4W 11.5N 48.4W 11.9N 50.6W 12.3N 53.0W
BAMM 11.2N 46.4W 11.7N 48.6W 12.3N 51.0W 12.9N 53.6W
A98E 11.2N 46.4W 11.7N 48.5W 12.2N 50.8W 13.0N 53.3W
LBAR 11.2N 46.4W 11.5N 49.0W 12.0N 51.9W 12.3N 55.1W
SHIP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 60KTS
DSHP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 60KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050714 0000 050715 0000 050716 0000 050717 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.9N 55.7W 14.3N 61.4W 15.6N 66.4W 16.4N 71.1W
BAMM 13.7N 56.4W 15.4N 62.0W 16.8N 67.1W 17.4N 71.8W
A98E 13.7N 55.8W 15.3N 61.1W 16.5N 66.3W 17.1N 71.2W
LBAR 12.8N 58.7W 14.0N 65.7W 15.0N 72.8W .0N .0W
SHIP 67KTS 78KTS 82KTS 83KTS
DSHP 67KTS 78KTS 82KTS 52KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.2N LONCUR = 46.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 10.9N LONM12 = 44.4W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 10.8N LONM24 = 42.4W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 25NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 25NM


1005 mbs,35 kts.We have Emily.


If you don't mind my asking, where did you get that report? That's impressive and if it's down to 1005 mb already, I fear what it will be at in the Caribbean.
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#18 Postby StormWarning1 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:26 pm

Models are trending south again, if this keeps up probably will not be a DR hit anyway.
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Josephine96

#19 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:28 pm

3 words.. BRING HER ON! :lol:

Seriously.. Glad to see we have our 5th storm.. Kinda surprised at the southern track shift.. Last night the NHC practically had the thing making a dead w by wnw trek to eventually south or central Florida..

Wonders what the Bermuda High will look like about a week from now lol
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Re: Is this the real deal? 00:00z Models header TS,35 kts,10

#20 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:28 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
cycloneye wrote:TROPICAL STORM FIVE (AL052005) ON 20050712 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050712 0000 050712 1200 050713 0000 050713 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.2N 46.4W 11.5N 48.4W 11.9N 50.6W 12.3N 53.0W
BAMM 11.2N 46.4W 11.7N 48.6W 12.3N 51.0W 12.9N 53.6W
A98E 11.2N 46.4W 11.7N 48.5W 12.2N 50.8W 13.0N 53.3W
LBAR 11.2N 46.4W 11.5N 49.0W 12.0N 51.9W 12.3N 55.1W
SHIP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 60KTS
DSHP 35KTS 44KTS 53KTS 60KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050714 0000 050715 0000 050716 0000 050717 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.9N 55.7W 14.3N 61.4W 15.6N 66.4W 16.4N 71.1W
BAMM 13.7N 56.4W 15.4N 62.0W 16.8N 67.1W 17.4N 71.8W
A98E 13.7N 55.8W 15.3N 61.1W 16.5N 66.3W 17.1N 71.2W
LBAR 12.8N 58.7W 14.0N 65.7W 15.0N 72.8W .0N .0W
SHIP 67KTS 78KTS 82KTS 83KTS
DSHP 67KTS 78KTS 82KTS 52KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.2N LONCUR = 46.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 10.9N LONM12 = 44.4W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 10.8N LONM24 = 42.4W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 25NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 25NM


1005 mbs,35 kts.We have Emily.


If you don't mind my asking, where did you get that report? That's impressive and if it's down to 1005 mb already, I fear what it will be at in the Caribbean.


http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm

The link above is from where I get the model information.
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