Emily 2005 & Earl 2004

HouTXmetro · #1 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 11:44 am

Does anyone remember how Earl was trucking across the Atlantic as a tropical storm. I recall the NHC 5 day forecast showed the Storm entering the Gulf and threatening the Upper TX/ LA coast as a Hurricane. Guess what, the storm ended up dying off around the Yucatan/ Belize area. How did the NHC get it so wrong? Perhaps Emily will do the same.

Scorpion · #2 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 11:45 am

I think it could do the same thing. Possibly without the weakening though, since Earl was moving too fast and the LLC outran the convection.

Meso · #3 Postby **Meso** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 11:51 am

Earl had come from 9N 46W to 12N 59W, moving at about 20-25mph,but after that time he only had wind speeds of 45mph with a pressure of 1005mb.. Emily seems to be quite a bit more powerful

Swimdude · #4 Postby **Swimdude** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:33 pm

Scorpion wrote:I think it could do the same thing. Possibly without the weakening though, since Earl was moving too fast and the LLC outran the convection.

Emily was moving 19 mph at the last update... I'm not sure that's "slow."

Scorpion · #5 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:35 pm

Earl was moving close to 30 mph.

Swimdude · #6 Postby **Swimdude** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:37 pm

Scorpion wrote:Earl was moving close to 30 mph.

Damn! I mean... I stand corrected.

GalvestonDuck · #7 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:37 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Does anyone remember how Earl was trucking across the Atlantic as a tropical storm. I recall the NHC 5 day forecast showed the Storm entering the Gulf and threatening the Upper TX/ LA coast as a Hurricane. Guess what, the storm ended up dying off around the Yucatan/ Belize area. How did the NHC get it so wrong? Perhaps Emily will do the same.

Just had to mention Earl, didn't you?!?!?!? Great! Now I have that dang song in my head.

"...'Cuz Earl had to di-i-i-i-ie...nah nah nahnah nah nah naaaaaaaaah!" :roll:

ARGH!

HouTXmetro · #8 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:40 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:Does anyone remember how Earl was trucking across the Atlantic as a tropical storm. I recall the NHC 5 day forecast showed the Storm entering the Gulf and threatening the Upper TX/ LA coast as a Hurricane. Guess what, the storm ended up dying off around the Yucatan/ Belize area. How did the NHC get it so wrong? Perhaps Emily will do the same.

Just had to mention Earl, didn't you?!?!?!? Great! Now I have that dang song in my head.

"...'Cuz Earl had to di-i-i-i-ie...nah nah nahnah nah nah naaaaaaaaah!"

ARGH!

HouTXmetro · #9 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:41 pm

Swimdude wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Earl was moving close to 30 mph.

Damn! I mean... I stand corrected.

HurricaneJoe22 · #10 Postby **HurricaneJoe22** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 2:12 pm

I don't think Emily will turn out to be too much of anything and that might be a good thing...the Caribbean needs a break (we all do)....and there seems to be plenty behind it....look what's about to move off Africa.

Website · #11 Postby **Brent** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 2:16 pm

Earl was never that impressive though... it always looked weak.

IF Emily continues to look sick overnight, then I will say it could fall apart, but she did this same thing yesterday during the day. Watch after dark...

#12 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Jul 12, 2005 2:20 pm

Sometimes moving rapidly is not that bad! Ask Charley!

TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM AST TUE AUG 10 2004

...CHARLEY STRONGER AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD
INCLUDING PORT-AU-PRINCE...AND FOR JAMAICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z......0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 71.8
WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES...590 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON
JAMAICA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 26 MPH
...43 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL BE
NEARING JAMAICA TOMORROW MORNING.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...OVER A SMALL AREA JUST NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...15.7 N... 71.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN

Emily 2005 & Earl 2004

Emily 2005 & Earl 2004

Re: Emily 2005 & Earl 2004

Re: Emily 2005 & Earl 2004

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