Should I stay or should I go????

[ajurcat]

Ok, house off Matagorda Bay....should I stay or should I go???

[gkrangers]

If thats near Galveston/Houston...stay. Keep an eye on things, but you are in little danger right now.

[Cape Verde]

Too early to decide. You'll know by Monday, I think.

[Brent]

Too early to tell... right now looks like your fine, but you need to monitor.

Matagorda Bay is about 100 miles southwest of Galveston... where Claudette hit in 2003.

[Stratosphere747]

Ok, house off Matagorda Bay....should I stay or should I go???

Sounds like you are near Sargent?

Fine for now, just keep a ear on what the NHC is saying. If it hits where it is projected now, the most you will get is some decent waves and possible bands of showers.

[Ivanhater]

listen to what your local officials say

[ajurcat]

Too early to tell... right now looks like your fine, but you need to monitor.

Matagorda Bay is about 100 miles southwest of Galveston... where Claudette hit in 2002.

Exactly where Claudette hit. We were lucky...neighbors 4 houses down were not so lucky. Their house was in the middle of the road.

[djtil]

stay

[BLHutch]

Claudette....wasn't she the one that was supposed to turn but never did? I remember our local forecasters assuring us it would turn and go in south of Corpus as it kept marching closer and closer. It did turn away from the Houston/Galveston area at the last minute, but Matagorda is a heck of a lot closer than Corpus. I would hate to see what would happen if they made the same call with a large Emily like storm...

Brady

[Brent]

Claudette....wasn't she the one that was supposed to turn but never did? I remember our local forecasters assuring us it would turn and go in south of Corpus as it kept marching closer and closer. It did turn away from the Houston/Galveston area at the last minute, but Matagorda is a heck of a lot closer than Corpus. I would hate to see what would happen if they made the same call with a large Emily like storm...

Brady

Yep... Claudette was going to hit Brownsville for days... and days. It was also rapidly intensifying as it came in. Had that started 12 hours earlier, we would have had a very dangerous major hurricane plowing into the coast.

[deltadog03]

Claudette....wasn't she the one that was supposed to turn but never did? I remember our local forecasters assuring us it would turn and go in south of Corpus as it kept marching closer and closer. It did turn away from the Houston/Galveston area at the last minute, but Matagorda is a heck of a lot closer than Corpus. I would hate to see what would happen if they made the same call with a large Emily like storm...

Brady

yeah no kidding

[ajurcat]

Yeah, no kidding! I keep hearing the guitar riff for 'should I stay or should I go'. That may be my new theme. I still have radar pix on my computer of Claudette over Palacios and Port Lavaca.

[Brent]

Trip down memory lane...

TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

...CLAUDETTE BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS
GULF COAST FROM PORT OCONNOR TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2003

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM
PORT OCONNOR TO MATAGORDA TEXAS.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS
COAST FROM JUST EAST OF MATAGORDA TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2003

...CLAUDETTE CONTINUING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
TEXAS COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO SAN LOUIS PASS.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT
NORTH OF SAN LOUIS PASS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR
THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2003

...CLAUDETTE CONTINUING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...WARNINGS
EXTENDED...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE TEXAS COAST TO HIGH ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO HIGH ISLAND.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
EASTWARD ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST TO INTRACOASTAL CITY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

[BLHutch]

Thanks for digging that up! It is indeed a trip down memory lane. Thanks again.

Brady

[hicksta]

I say.. you go and just party. if you come back and it didnt better safe than sorry.

[ajurcat]

I say.. you go and just party. if you come back and it didnt better safe than sorry.

Thanks for the input!

[Swimdude]

Hmmm i'd say go. But then again, if you can wait a mere 36 hours to make sure, everything should be known by then.

[Scorpion]

I doubt its going to directly hit the central coast of Texas. Maybe get TS winds.

[ajurcat]

My concern is the surge and how big Em is.

[djtil]

"em" is tiny.....and the surge is only a concern for the eyewall....unless your address ends in mexico nothing more than keeping an eye on the situation is necessary at this time. models are very tightly clustered and hundreds of miles south of texas...the NHC forecast is conservatively north at this time.