Area in Caribbean not 90L

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Area in Caribbean not 90L

#1 Postby boca » Thu Jul 21, 2005 7:10 am

If 90L is projected to move north than NE.The area in the Caribbean might also move N than NE as well.The 2 areas are only 400 miles apart.
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Area in Caribbean not 90L

#2 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:06 am

boca wrote:If 90L is projected to move north than NE.The area in the Caribbean might also move N than NE as well.The 2 areas are only 400 miles apart.


How did you come to that conclusion?
0 likes   

Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:09 am

I would actually think the southern Caribbean area would move towards the Gulf of Mexico
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#4 Postby boca » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:24 am

Stormcenter I figured that since these areas are relatively close to each other that the upper flow pattern would pretty much be the same.I 'm learning so educate me if I'm wrong. I've eaten crow before its really good well done.
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#5 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:28 am

boca wrote:Stormcenter I figured that since these areas are relatively close to each other that the upper flow pattern would pretty much be the same.I 'm learning so educate me if I'm wrong. I've eaten crow before its really good well done.


They both "May" end up in the GOM and not out to sea.
Last edited by Stormcenter on Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#6 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:29 am

yeah both gom....member the ridge????
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#7 Postby boca » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:30 am

It's funny every met here in S FL says basically a fish.Sunny and hot next couple of days.
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#8 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:30 am

Stormcenter wrote:
boca wrote:Stormcenter I figured that since these areas are relatively close to each other that the upper flow pattern would pretty much be the same.I 'm learning so educate me if I'm wrong. I've eaten crow before its really good well done.


They both "May" end up in the GOM and not out to seas.


I highly doubt both end up end the GOM.
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

Anonymous

#9 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:33 am

Well, I will give my thoughts in my video update :)
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#10 Postby boca » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:36 am

A cold front will be in the SE US causing a wekness in the ridge that's why their saying N then NE
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#11 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:48 am

boca wrote:A cold front will be in the SE US causing a wekness in the ridge that's why their saying N then NE


A cold front in July just doesn't sound as strong as one in Sept or Oct. I wouldn't put to much faith in it's influence on 90L. IMO
But hey anything is possible.
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#12 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jul 21, 2005 9:02 am

Stormcenter wrote:
boca wrote:A cold front will be in the SE US causing a wekness in the ridge that's why their saying N then NE


A cold front in July just doesn't sound as strong as one in Sept or Oct. I wouldn't put to much faith in it's influence on 90L. IMO
But hey anything is possible.


No it's not, but I'm sure you remember 2004 right? Several early cold fronts protected Texas and Lousiana.
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#13 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Jul 21, 2005 9:23 am

I am expecting 90L to do just what some are saying NW to N and then NE unless that weakness doesn't develop as expected. As always, timing is everything. If 90L lollygags around and doesn't keep moving NW, then it could end up in the GOM if the ridge builds back in quickly after the trough passage.

The blob in the Caribbean is moving NW and should end up in the GOM in a few days. The ridge is still there and would, at this time, direct it to the NW rather than to NW to N to NE. Our local OCM's are actually watching both but are more concerned about the Carib system. None are honking on any development on either one atm.
0 likes   

TPACane04

#14 Postby TPACane04 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 9:32 am

VB, I am wondering that if BOTH systems do develop, would it not stand to reason that they are both going to follow the supposed East Coast weakness...

meaning 90L brushes East FL coast, turns N then NE...

while Carib system would start NW, then N, poss NE?? I cannot see a blocking ridge in either case that would take the Caribbean "system" NW or W toward you.

should make for an interesting next day or so....still too early to speculate until either gets their act together.
0 likes   

User avatar
beachbum_al
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Age: 55
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
Location: South Alabama Coast
Contact:

#15 Postby beachbum_al » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:29 am

So if we have two tropical systems in the GOM does this mean disaster for somebody? Could these systems hit the same area within hours of one another?

Just wondering.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 253 guests