td 7/Gert Forecast #1: The assembly line of storms continues

[Josephine96]

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #7
NJN WEATHER CENTER
620 PM SAT JULY 23RD 2005

Tropical Depression #7 was born at 5pm on Saturday and should become Tropical Storm Gert before landfall sometime during the day on Sunday.

#7 formed in the BOC in almost the exact area where Emily crossed about a week ago. While this will be nowhere near Emily's size.. the rain could be tremendous especially in areas that were left flooded or well saturated by Emily.

This is expected to be no more imho then a 45 mph maybe 50 tropical storm, so wind will obviously not be the main threat. Those in the areas already flooded need to be prepared to move to higher ground if need be.

The storm should die out as quickly as it formed once it makes landfall.

Here's my experimental 5 day forecast on #7:
Tonight: Forming in the BOC, getting a little better organized. Max Winds: 35 mph
Sunday: Becoming a TS before landfall in central Mexico. Max Winds: 45
mph
Monday: Quickly weakening and becoming extratropical. Max winds: 35 mph
Tuesday: Into the center of Mexico. Max Winds: 20 mph
Wednesday: Inlfuencing rain chances in Western Mexico. Max Winds: 15 mph
Thursday: Possibly exiting into the Pacific. Max Winds: 15 mph

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.