FYI... the MOS guidance (MAV, MET, and FWC) have all been too warm here in the Midsouth the past few days. It has been consistently 2-5 degrees too warm for Memphis and surrouding sites. My guess is that with the abundant rain we had before the heat set in, the MOS guidance is not accounting for the moist ground conditions. It certainly has held actual temps down, but at the same time has kept heat indices above 105 degrees.
Just thought I would throw that out there. Sometimes even when all the guidance agrees, it is still wrong.
MOS guidance not doing too well in the MidSouth
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