Any possibilty that Irene could being do an equal to a EWRC?

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du1st

Any possibilty that Irene could being do an equal to a EWRC?

#1 Postby du1st » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:34 am

I mean even though it's to weak to have an EWRC the center jumping around and it re orgainizing is kind of like that. This is hard to say and I am not trying to be nonsensical.
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wxcrazytwo

Re: Any possibilty that Irene could being do an equal to a E

#2 Postby wxcrazytwo » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:36 am

du1st wrote:I mean even though it's to weak to have an EWRC the center jumping around and it re orgainizing is kind of like that. This is hard to say and I am not trying to be nonsensical.


Huh, according to Derek this is an open wave (possibly). This depression has no closed circulation to have an EWRC.
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Re: Any possibilty that Irene could being do an equal to a E

#3 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:38 am

du1st wrote:I mean even though it's to weak to have an EWRC the center jumping around and it re orgainizing is kind of like that. This is hard to say and I am not trying to be nonsensical.


LMAO...And i thought it could not get worse..
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#4 Postby Skyline » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:38 am

I think what wxcrazytwo is saying . . .

is that the temporary weaking is a precursor to future intesification.
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Re: Any possibilty that Irene could being do an equal to a E

#5 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:41 am

du1st wrote:I mean even though it's to weak to have an EWRC the center jumping around and it re orgainizing is kind of like that. This is hard to say and I am not trying to be nonsensical.


actually I was kinda thinking that myself for a few minutes (no joke).

the thing im wondering about is if this latest shift could mean strengthening for Irene... the latest shift of the center places it closer to the convection and maybe this means better organization of the system... dont listen to me though, lets have a pro met here answer some of these questions... :wink:
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Re: Any possibilty that Irene could being do an equal to a E

#6 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:46 am

wxwatcher91 wrote:
du1st wrote:I mean even though it's to weak to have an EWRC the center jumping around and it re orgainizing is kind of like that. This is hard to say and I am not trying to be nonsensical.


actually I was kinda thinking that myself for a few minutes (no joke).

the thing im wondering about is if this latest shift could mean strengthening for Irene... the latest shift of the center places it closer to the convection and maybe this means better organization of the system... dont listen to me though, lets have a pro met here answer some of these questions... :wink:



Its fighting for survival like all of us would do if we were getting hammered with shear and dry air......Its fought to hard for to long to die now. PLUS, I'm going to lose money on it if it does......go Irene go!
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wxcrazytwo

#7 Postby wxcrazytwo » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:47 am

Skyline wrote:I think what wxcrazytwo is saying . . .

is that the temporary weaking is a precursor to future intesification.


I think he was quoting du1st, sky..
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#8 Postby Skyline » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:02 am

Sorry 'bout that folks.
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#9 Postby Aslkahuna » Tue Aug 09, 2005 3:48 pm

The number one thing about Eyewall Replacement Cycles is that you have to have an eyewall to replace. Eyewalls are not generally observed in tropical cyclones until they hit about 55kt or higher then they begin to develop eyewalls. At the moment, the system is sheared. If the shear relaxes, then reintensification is very possible.

Steve
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du1st

#10 Postby du1st » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:04 pm

I was kind of thinking about just as a similarity to it not that it is an EWRC.
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#11 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:23 pm

Got a classic setup for intensification down the road - storm getting sheared, shearing mechanism splitting off SW, pattern reverses as ridge builds where trof once was. We shall see.

Steve
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#12 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:24 pm

P.S. - not the same thing. An EWRC is an internal/storm engine mechanism. The shear factor is external.

Steve
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