WATS UP - August 15, 2005

[dhweather]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Western Atlantic Tropical Summary - WATS UP on August 15, 2005

<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/wats20050815.jpg">

Hurricane Irene continues to add to the number of named storm days
for 2005, and will pose a threat to shipping lanes as she moves out to sea.

The remnants of TD10 continue to be sheared and plagued with dry air.
I do not expect redevelopment of this system in the next 48-72 hours.

A small ULL near Puerto Rico is providing a little convection in that area.

Two tropical waves in the western Caribbean continue moving westward
into central America, and are increasing in convection. I do not expect
tropical cyclone development in this area, due to the proximity to land.

[x-y-no]

I think TD10's remnant has a shot at redevelopment on Wednesday.

[gatorcane]

I think TD10's remnant has a shot at redevelopment on Wednesday.

TD 10 is forecast by current model guidance to redevelop and move WNW and into the SE Bahamas...by the weekend.

[cinlfla]

TD 10 is forecast by current model guidance to redevelop and move WNW and into the SE Bahamas...by the weekend.

When the models forecast a storm to redevelop are they aware of the shear and the dry air that surrounds possible redevelopment?

[gatorcane]

as I understand it most of the NHC models do.

[EDR1222]

The models do however, have a much more difficult time with systems that are not developed.