Cape Verde Hurricane by Labor Day?

#1 Postby **dhweather** » Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:09 pm

Will a hurricane form east of 50 degrees, south of 20 degrees, typically
known as a Cape Verde Storm? Not a depression or storm, a hurricane
by Labor Day (Two weeks from today)

#2 Postby **Buck** » Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:21 pm

I'm thinking yes.

#3 Postby **dhweather** » Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:30 pm

I'm leaning toward no - the effective evaporation of 97L, and the
wave behind it is fading fast. The dry air is winning the 2005
Cape Verde season. I just don't think we'll see any in the next 2-3 weeks
or perhaps longer.

October will be more of a "home grown" month.

#4 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:31 pm

i am saying a big ol NO!! just don't see it anytime soon....dry air is destroying things VERY quickly

gpickett00 · #5 Postby **gpickett00** » Mon Aug 22, 2005 9:03 pm

My friend SAL said no!

wxmann_91 · #6 Postby **wxmann_91** » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:12 pm

Yes. But with S*L I dare not be too bullish.

YouTube · #7 Postby **hurricanetrack** » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:30 pm

It is a decent possibility. Do not think that SAL will keep the hurricanes away. I am of the opinion that SAL could actually end up hurting us more than helping. The SAL certainly does not extend past 50W right now and rarely does this time of year. So- if these strong African waves DO NOT develop right off the COA, and make their way farther westward, and then develop, we could have trouble.

Let's look at Frances as a prime example: It was classified as a depression at 36W- no where near the Cape Verde Islands. And look what happend, it was a Labor Day pain in the neck!

So- if you're putting 50W as the benchmark, I'll take that bet. So, yes, a Labor Day hurricane this year seems like an ok possibility to me- just don't know where.

ConvergenceZone · #8 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Tue Aug 23, 2005 1:23 am

I've given up on the CV season. In seasons past when this type of Atlantic environment has set up, nothing has formed, so I don't see this season being any different. Yes I've changed my tone due to the last couple of great waves basically evaporating. I'm not saying that nothing will generate, but I'm starting to believe that nothing substantial will generate, too many factors against it this season.

I think it's going to be up to the Carib sea or Gulf to generate any good action this year, and unless the Atlantic proves me wrong, I'm holding this opinion.

southerngale · #9 Postby **southerngale** » Tue Aug 23, 2005 3:41 am

I voted yes and I'll even guess that it will be 97L.

#10 Postby **TampaFl** » Tue Aug 23, 2005 3:56 am

dhweather wrote:I'm leaning toward no - the effective evaporation of 97L, and the
wave behind it is fading fast. The dry air is winning the 2005
Cape Verde season. I just don't think we'll see any in the next 2-3 weeks
or perhaps longer.

Look again Dhweather :eek:

No evaporation here this morning. By the way, I vote yes on this being a "Labor Day Hurricane"

Robert 8-)

#11 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:13 am

97L is fighting - that's for sure!

x-y-no · #12 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:20 am

I voted "no" because I think 97L will be north of 20n before it gets to be a hurricane, and the wave behind may develop, but probaly west of 50w.