TD12 Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[SouthFloridawx]

Invest 99L is up

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... s&DISPLAY=

[SouthFloridawx]

Why would they post a 99L for the system in the SE Bahama's?

[TS Zack]

It shows Remnants of TD 10. Maybe the NHC will not continue with TD 10!

[ericinmia]

Interesting... NRL is now classifying what people have been improperly calling the remenants of td10 finally its own new entitiy.

[Ola]

Something is not correct here. NONAME 10 is still up at the same time invest99l is up.

[WindRunner]

Maybe it's just me, but there's an area to the NE of the blob near Cuba with 50kt winds per qscat pass from this morning. Would they put two invests (10L near cuba and 99L east of bahamas) this close together??

[wxwatcher91]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I think that they are two different systems... 10L is the southern one that is just north of Cuba. 99L is east of 10L and a tad north...

fujiwara???

[cycloneye]

99L is the same system.It tells me that they are thinking of naming it as TD12 and not rename it as TD10.

[Steve]

>>NRL is now classifying what people have been improperly calling the remenants of td10

Yeah, I thought the remants from 10 were further west (between SFL and the Bahamas). But some of the energy was left behind so that's not necessarily improper. There's also a wave moving into the general area of spin (partially entrained into the ULL to the N-NW of 10L) and probably some potential for an energy split where a piece heads off NW or N and the general area continues W-WNW. But that's just speculation on my part.

Steve

[TampaFl]

Maybe it's just me, but there's an area to the NE of the blob near Cuba with 50kt winds per qscat pass from this morning. Would they put two invests (10L near cuba and 99L east of bahamas) this close together??

[SouthFloridawx]

99L is the same system.It tells me that they are thinking of naming it as TD12 and not rename it as TD10.

I couldn't believe beat Luis on this one. Hey were you out at lunch or something when i posted that... i was expecting that you would lock it and say ... you posted it on the board already...[/quote]

[Thunder44]

The coordinates are further NE and the winds are 25kts here.

[Derecho]

It's obviously the same system.

1) A case can be made for it being TD 10 regenerated, or a new system; it's not obviously "incorrect" for anyone to say either. It's pretty ambiguous.

2) In the grand scheme of the universe, it's basically irrelevant whether it's 10 regenerated, or TD 12, and extra-irrelevant to the public.

3) Despite points 1), and 2), I predict a vicious and stupid flamewar will ensue started by people with their panties in a bunch in outrage over whatever NHC finally decides to do.

[SouthFloridawx]

It's obviously the same system.

1) A case can be made for it being TD 10 regenerated, or a new system; it's not obviously "incorrect" for anyone to say either. It's pretty ambiguous.

2) In the grand scheme of the universe, it's basically irrelvant whether it's 10 regenerated, or TD 12, and extra-irrelevant to the public.

3) Despite points 1), and 2), I predict a vicious and stupid flamewar will ensue started by people with their panties in a bunch in outrage over whatever NHC finally decides to do.

i agree

[spinfan4eva]

Maybe TD10 redevelops and the upper low to the northeast works its way to the surface, theres your two systems having a fujiwara effect.

[MWatkins]

I just opened up ACTF...yes...they have retagged the Bahamas system as 99L.

Also...not sure if anyone has seen the latest plan-o-the-day. Looks like the NHC is very close to the CONU guidance...at least in terms of their aircraft planing.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... OUS42.KNHC

MW

[sma10]

It's obviously the same system.

1) A case can be made for it being TD 10 regenerated, or a new system; it's not obviously "incorrect" for anyone to say either. It's pretty ambiguous.

2) In the grand scheme of the universe, it's basically irrelevant whether it's 10 regenerated, or TD 12, and extra-irrelevant to the public.

3) Despite points 1), and 2), I predict a vicious and stupid flamewar will ensue started by people with their panties in a bunch in outrage over whatever NHC finally decides to do.

My guess is that they've probably decided that IF it develops they'll call it TD12 (or TD13, for that matter), but since it never got named in the first place, it's totally irrelevant.

However, I'm quite certain that the flame wars will ensue.

Ultimately, this will only interest those on this board obsessed with the numbers game.

[tailgater]

I just opened up ACTF...yes...they have retagged the Bahamas system as 99L.

Also...not sure if anyone has seen the latest plan-o-the-day. Looks like the NHC is very close to the CONU guidance...at least in terms of their aircraft planing.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... OUS42.KNHC

MW

Please so we can get rid of extremely long thread

[artist]

yep - a lot of those planning on now eating crow have found a way out!

[SouthFloridawx]

they got rid of 10L Noname on the navy site...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... s&DISPLAY=