Katrina vs. Ivan
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CYCLONE MIKE
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Katrina vs. Ivan
I don't know if anyone has alluded to this or not, but doesn't this remind anyone of Ivan last year. The models kept saying Mobile/Pensacola and Ivan kept moving NW towards New Orleans. The whole SE of LA was trying to evacuate. Then of course the turn did come but scared the crap out everyone. Could this be why they are not hyping Katrina up too much yet, because they are just so gun shy and caused mass panic last year as Ivan shot off to the NE. I know everyone remembers the 8-10 hour trip on I-10 to Baton Rouge. Are they hoping to avoid it this time?
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Re: Katrina vs. Ivan
I remember NOLA was shut down basically. With almost no effects from Ivan which K.O. the panhandle at only 120mph. They better not make the mistake that many S. FL residents made thinking it cannot deviate from it's track.CYCLONE MIKE wrote:I don't know if anyone has alluded to this or not, but doesn't this remind anyone of Ivan last year. The models kept saying Mobile/Pensacola and Ivan kept moving NW towards New Orleans. The whole SE of LA was trying to evacuate. Then of course the turn did come but scared the crap out everyone. Could this be why they are not hyping Katrina up too much yet, because they are just so gun shy and caused mass panic last year as Ivan shot off to the NE. I know everyone remembers the 8-10 hour trip on I-10 to Baton Rouge. Are they hoping to avoid it this time?
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chrisnnavarre
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Yeah, I remember it... that's why we're putting boards up on my house here in Navarre tomorrow....
Predicting landfall on a storm travelling along a curved track has to be very difficult.
I would be willing to bet that the models shift back east after the storm starts a more norward drift. The NHC will leave the landfall onlong the Miss/Ala coast until the last minute.
They are probably politically hedging their bet. Considering the catastrophic results of a direct hit on NOLA, I don't blame them.
Predicting landfall on a storm travelling along a curved track has to be very difficult.
I would be willing to bet that the models shift back east after the storm starts a more norward drift. The NHC will leave the landfall onlong the Miss/Ala coast until the last minute.
They are probably politically hedging their bet. Considering the catastrophic results of a direct hit on NOLA, I don't blame them.
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NastyCat4
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THead
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NastyCat4 wrote:With the South of West movement, there will not be an early turn. This thing is West of Pensacola, unless it moves due NORTH TONIGHT. That is most likely not happening. NOLA may well be in trouble.
I hope you're not implying because of that it can't hit in or hit east of pensacola. If it gets picked up, it will eventually have some east component.....slightly east of north or ne...nobody is out of the woods yet.
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